Mahoning County, OH

OH · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

R+9.4
2024 Margin
R+7.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2020
Voting Streak
226K
Population

Mahoning County, OH (Ohio) voted R+9.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 61,249 votes (54.09%) to 50,636 (44.72%) for Harris.

This represents a R+7.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Mahoning County is classified as a lean Republican county. Mahoning County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2020. The county has a population of approximately 226,491.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+9.4
2020→2024 SwingR+7.5%
Voting StreakR since 2020
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population226,491
Median Age
43.2(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
27.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$56,942(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
74.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
6.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
15.2%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
70.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
18.9%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
24.4%
Evangelical
11.1%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
7.0%(Unique Concentration)
Mainline Protestant
6.0%
LDS/Mormon
0.2%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
17.4%(1.4x)
Italian
16.7%Significant Hub(3.5x)
Irish
13.9%(1.5x)
English
8.8%
American Heritage
5.2%
Puerto Rican
4.3%Significant Hub(2.6x)
+ 5 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:43.2 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
20.3%
18-29
8.1%↓
30-44
17.9%
45-64
31.3%↑
65+
22.5%↑
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
12.1%(1.2x US)
Retail Trade
11.9%(1.1x US)
Educational Services
9.7%(1.1x US)
Professional & Technical
7.9%(0.7x US)
Construction
6.3%
Healthcare & Social Services
4.5%
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202444.7%(50,636)54.1%(61,249)R+9.4R+7.5
202048.5%(57,641)50.4%(59,903)R+1.9R+5.1
201648.8%(57,381)45.6%(53,616)D+3.2R+24.8
201262.8%(77,059)34.7%(42,641)D+28.0D+1.5
200862.0%(79,173)35.5%(45,319)D+26.5D+0.6
200462.6%(83,194)36.7%(48,761)D+25.9D+0.7
200060.6%(69,212)35.5%(40,460)D+25.2R+9.8
199661.5%(72,716)26.6%(31,397)D+35.0D+8.3
199251.5%(64,731)24.8%(31,191)D+26.7D+0.2
198862.9%(75,524)36.4%(43,722)D+26.5D+8.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Mahoning County, OH • 1892–2024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202448.3%(53,847)48.5%(54,067)R+0.2D+3.3
202248.3%(41,421)51.7%(44,397)R+3.5R+24.5
201860.5%(54,594)39.5%(35,654)D+21.0D+24.9
201645.6%(51,211)49.5%(55,620)R+3.9R+41.1
201266.4%(76,182)29.2%(33,480)D+37.2D+19.9
201056.8%(47,708)39.5%(33,152)D+17.3R+29.6
200673.5%(69,664)26.5%(25,151)D+46.9D+51.0
200448.0%(61,403)52.0%(66,554)R+4.0R+8.1
200050.3%(55,064)46.2%(50,568)D+4.1R+17.9
199860.9%(52,621)38.9%(33,620)D+22.0D+10.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202234.6%(29,444)65.3%(55,676)R+30.8R+43.0
201854.8%(49,740)42.6%(38,689)D+12.2D+23.0
201442.8%(28,376)53.7%(35,578)R+10.9R+45.6
201065.8%(56,228)31.1%(26,566)D+34.7R+19.6
200675.7%(72,076)21.4%(20,356)D+54.3D+50.9
200249.6%(43,110)46.1%(40,149)D+3.4R+15.2
199856.3%(45,422)37.7%(30,423)D+18.6D+53.0
199431.5%(26,854)65.9%(56,228)R+34.4R+49.3
199057.4%(55,495)42.6%(41,162)D+14.8R+35.2
198675.0%(64,620)25.0%(21,515)D+50.0D+4.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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