Lucas County, OH

OH · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+12.4
2024 Margin
R+4.3%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1988
Voting Streak
428K
Population

Lucas County, OH (Ohio) voted D+12.4 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 106,320 votes (55.23%) to 82,398 (42.81%) for Trump.

This represents a R+4.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Lucas County is classified as a lean Democratic county. Lucas County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The county has a population of approximately 428,018.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+12.4
2020→2024 SwingR+4.3%
Voting StreakD since 1988
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population428,018
Median Age
38.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
29.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$62,224(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
66.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
7.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
19.7%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.7%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
62.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.7%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
16.1%
Evangelical
10.3%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
6.7%
Black Protestant
4.4%(Above Average)
Jewish
0.4%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
22.9%Above Average(1.9x)
Irish
11.2%(1.2x)
English
8.5%
Polish
7.5%Significant Hub(3.0x)
Mexican
5.8%
American Heritage
4.2%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.8%
18-29
8.9%
30-44
20.1%
45-64
30.7%
65+
17.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
15.3%(1.6x US)
Retail Trade
11.8%(1.1x US)
Educational Services
9.7%(1.1x US)
Professional & Technical
9.5%(0.8x US)
Construction
4.8%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.7%
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202455.2%(106,320)42.8%(82,398)D+12.4R+4.3
202057.5%(115,411)40.8%(81,763)D+16.8R+0.7
201655.1%(110,833)37.7%(75,698)D+17.5R+14.0
201264.5%(136,616)33.0%(69,940)D+31.5D+0.1
200864.8%(142,852)33.4%(73,706)D+31.4D+10.7
200460.2%(132,715)39.5%(87,160)D+20.7D+2.0
200057.8%(108,344)39.1%(73,342)D+18.7R+7.1
199657.7%(104,911)32.0%(58,120)D+25.7D+7.7
199249.3%(99,989)31.2%(63,297)D+18.1D+9.4
198853.9%(99,755)45.3%(83,788)D+8.6D+10.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lucas County, OH18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202457.0%(107,783)38.4%(72,544)D+18.6R+0.9
202259.7%(78,727)40.2%(53,009)D+19.5R+14.0
201866.7%(100,807)33.3%(50,223)D+33.5D+29.6
201649.6%(95,425)45.7%(87,961)D+3.9R+28.6
201264.2%(131,887)31.7%(65,067)D+32.5D+24.3
201052.7%(74,223)44.5%(62,636)D+8.2R+24.8
200666.5%(94,630)33.5%(47,659)D+33.0D+47.8
200442.6%(90,250)57.4%(121,535)R+14.8R+6.1
200043.0%(74,682)51.7%(89,753)R+8.7R+2.2
199846.8%(59,228)53.2%(67,409)R+6.5R+10.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202245.5%(60,516)54.3%(72,214)R+8.8R+30.6
201859.2%(90,232)37.4%(57,004)D+21.8D+27.1
201445.4%(48,179)50.8%(53,808)R+5.3R+30.3
201060.9%(88,210)36.0%(52,070)D+25.0R+10.6
200666.6%(95,118)31.0%(44,307)D+35.6D+56.4
200238.3%(49,648)59.1%(76,572)R+20.8R+43.5
199859.1%(78,310)36.3%(48,158)D+22.7D+64.0
199427.5%(33,528)68.8%(83,820)R+41.3R+43.3
199051.0%(71,015)49.0%(68,228)D+2.0R+35.4
198668.7%(82,993)31.3%(37,838)D+37.4D+2.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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