Lorain County, OH

OH · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+5.7
2024 Margin
R+3.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2020
Voting Streak
317K
Population

Lorain County, OH (Ohio) voted R+5.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 83,297 votes (52.12%) to 74,207 (46.44%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Lorain County is classified as a lean Republican county. Lorain County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2020. The county has a population of approximately 317,129.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+5.7
2020→2024 SwingR+3.2%
Voting StreakR since 2020
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population317,129
Median Age
42.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
28.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$73,347(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
76.1%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
11.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
7.9%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
74.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
6.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
21.3%
Evangelical
15.3%
Mainline Protestant
5.0%
Black Protestant
1.7%
LDS/Mormon
0.4%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
21.6%Above Average(1.8x)
Irish
13.7%(1.5x)
English
10.7%(1.2x)
Italian
8.2%Above Average(1.7x)
Polish
7.4%Significant Hub(3.0x)
Puerto Rican
7.0%Major Concentration(4.2x)
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.6%
18-29
8.2%
30-44
17.3%
45-64
33.1%
65+
19.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
15.8%(1.6x US)
Retail Trade
11.3%
Professional & Technical
10.2%(0.9x US)
Educational Services
8.3%
Construction
6.3%
Healthcare & Social Services
3.9%(0.8x US)
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202446.4%(74,207)52.1%(83,297)R+5.7R+3.2
202048.1%(75,667)50.5%(79,520)R+2.4R+2.5
201646.7%(66,949)46.6%(66,818)D+0.1R+15.2
201256.5%(81,464)41.2%(59,405)D+15.3R+2.6
200858.1%(85,276)40.2%(59,068)D+17.8D+5.2
200456.1%(78,970)43.5%(61,203)D+12.6D+2.1
200053.3%(59,809)42.8%(47,957)D+10.6R+9.0
199652.4%(55,744)32.8%(34,937)D+19.5D+7.6
199243.0%(50,962)31.0%(36,803)D+11.9D+7.1
198852.0%(55,600)47.1%(50,410)D+4.9D+8.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lorain County, OH18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202450.8%(79,307)45.9%(71,759)D+4.8D+2.4
202251.2%(57,191)48.8%(54,488)D+2.4R+16.1
201859.2%(67,452)40.7%(46,403)D+18.5D+31.2
201640.8%(56,032)53.5%(73,531)R+12.7R+32.3
201257.5%(80,854)37.9%(53,332)D+19.6D+26.6
201044.4%(43,102)51.3%(49,894)R+7.0R+39.8
200666.4%(67,429)33.6%(34,129)D+32.8D+48.9
200441.9%(57,436)58.1%(79,485)R+16.1R+1.0
200040.6%(44,097)55.7%(60,490)R+15.1R+18.5
199851.7%(41,041)48.3%(38,351)D+3.4D+7.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202240.0%(44,314)59.8%(66,289)R+19.8R+25.6
201851.4%(58,846)45.6%(52,268)D+5.7D+30.7
201435.8%(27,859)60.7%(47,256)R+24.9R+31.7
201051.0%(50,714)44.2%(43,994)D+6.8R+33.4
200668.4%(68,783)28.2%(28,342)D+40.2D+38.8
200249.1%(38,515)47.7%(37,423)D+1.4R+6.2
199851.2%(39,743)43.5%(33,816)D+7.6D+49.4
199427.6%(21,876)69.4%(54,950)R+41.8R+34.8
199046.5%(40,488)53.5%(46,514)R+6.9R+44.1
198668.6%(51,233)31.4%(23,446)D+37.2D+8.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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