Guernsey County, OH

OH · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+52.0
2024 Margin
R+3.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
38K
Population

Guernsey County, OH (Ohio) voted R+52.0 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 13,314 votes (75.54%) to 4,154 (23.57%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Guernsey County is classified as a deep Republican county. Guernsey County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 38,223.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+52.0
2020→2024 SwingR+3.5%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population38,223
Median Age
42.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
15.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$58,478(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
93.4%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
1.4%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.4%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
72.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
14.4%(Major Center)
Evangelical
14.3%
Catholic
4.5%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.9%
Black Protestant
0.7%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
21.9%Above Average(1.8x)
Irish
16.0%Above Average(1.7x)
English
14.5%Above Average(1.6x)
American Heritage
8.8%Above Average(1.6x)
Italian
3.7%
French
2.4%(1.2x)
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.1%
18-29
7.3%
30-44
17.8%
45-64
32.7%
65+
20.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
15.9%(1.6x US)
Retail Trade
12.5%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
9.7%(1.1x US)
Construction
7.3%
Professional & Technical
5.8%(0.5x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
5.6%(3.3x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202423.6%(4,154)75.5%(13,314)R+52.0R+3.5
202025.1%(4,577)73.5%(13,407)R+48.4R+6.4
201625.9%(4,359)67.9%(11,445)R+42.0R+33.0
201243.7%(7,450)52.7%(8,993)R+9.1R+0.0
200843.9%(7,625)52.9%(9,197)R+9.0D+3.3
200443.5%(7,768)55.8%(9,962)R+12.3R+2.3
200043.0%(6,643)53.0%(8,181)R+10.0R+15.0
199644.5%(6,731)39.5%(5,970)D+5.0D+0.9
199239.3%(6,428)35.2%(5,749)D+4.2D+21.9
198840.7%(5,926)58.4%(8,507)R+17.7D+16.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Guernsey County, OH18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202427.8%(4,839)68.1%(11,836)R+40.2D+2.2
202228.7%(3,505)71.2%(8,678)R+42.4R+22.4
201840.0%(5,014)60.0%(7,529)R+20.0D+28.1
201623.7%(3,836)71.8%(11,639)R+48.1R+38.2
201242.1%(6,868)52.0%(8,477)R+9.9D+15.2
201035.0%(4,174)60.0%(7,162)R+25.0R+35.8
200655.4%(7,334)44.6%(5,905)D+10.8D+41.0
200434.9%(6,076)65.1%(11,330)R+30.2R+2.0
200033.8%(5,046)62.0%(9,254)R+28.2R+15.3
199843.6%(4,978)56.4%(6,452)R+12.9R+3.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202220.8%(2,530)78.0%(9,486)R+57.2R+23.4
201831.4%(3,965)65.2%(8,242)R+33.8D+2.3
201430.5%(3,111)66.7%(6,794)R+36.1R+33.6
201046.0%(5,594)48.6%(5,900)R+2.5R+30.5
200662.4%(8,350)34.4%(4,601)D+28.0D+49.3
200237.3%(4,042)58.5%(6,348)R+21.3R+8.9
199841.2%(4,600)53.6%(5,982)R+12.4D+21.4
199430.7%(3,430)64.6%(7,203)R+33.8R+22.6
199044.4%(5,393)55.6%(6,758)R+11.2R+12.6
198650.7%(6,033)49.3%(5,870)D+1.4R+12.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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