Ashtabula County, OH

OH · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+28.3
2024 Margin
R+4.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
97K
Population

Ashtabula County, OH (Ohio) voted R+28.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 27,656 votes (63.47%) to 15,345 (35.22%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Ashtabula County is classified as a solid Republican county. Ashtabula County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016. The county has a population of approximately 97,167.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+28.3
2020→2024 SwingR+4.7%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population97,167
Median Age
43.0(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
16.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$57,728(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
3.7%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
75.7%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.6%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
15.1%
Catholic
10.1%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
9.5%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
1.4%
LDS/Mormon
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
21.1%Above Average(1.7x)
English
15.0%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
14.3%(1.5x)
Italian
10.6%Above Average(2.2x)
American Heritage
7.2%(1.3x)
Polish
4.1%Above Average(1.7x)
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:43.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.9%
18-29
7.6%
30-44
17.3%
45-64
32.9%
65+
20.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
22.9%(2.3x US)
Retail Trade
11.8%
Educational Services
9.1%
Construction
7.1%
Professional & Technical
5.6%(0.5x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.7%(0.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202435.2%(15,345)63.5%(27,656)R+28.3R+4.7
202037.4%(16,497)60.9%(26,890)R+23.5R+5.0
201637.3%(15,577)55.8%(23,318)R+18.5R+31.1
201254.4%(23,803)41.8%(18,298)D+12.6R+0.9
200855.5%(25,027)42.0%(18,949)D+13.5D+6.8
200453.0%(24,060)46.3%(21,038)D+6.7D+1.9
200050.2%(19,831)45.5%(17,940)D+4.8R+10.8
199650.0%(19,341)34.3%(13,287)D+15.6D+2.6
199243.8%(18,843)30.8%(13,254)D+13.0D+5.5
198853.3%(20,536)45.8%(17,654)D+7.5D+13.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Ashtabula County, OH18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202439.3%(16,785)56.5%(24,117)R+17.2D+1.3
202240.7%(12,561)59.2%(18,277)R+18.5R+20.6
201851.1%(16,473)48.9%(15,794)D+2.1D+25.2
201634.9%(14,097)58.0%(23,443)R+23.1R+33.0
201251.6%(21,973)41.7%(17,780)D+9.8D+18.2
201042.7%(12,740)51.0%(15,242)R+8.4R+32.0
200661.8%(21,151)38.2%(13,078)D+23.6D+40.8
200441.4%(18,378)58.6%(25,998)R+17.2D+0.8
200038.7%(14,764)56.7%(21,628)R+18.0R+8.6
199845.3%(13,483)54.7%(16,292)R+9.4R+4.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202231.5%(9,621)68.4%(20,903)R+36.9R+26.0
201842.4%(13,668)53.3%(17,184)R+10.9D+9.2
201438.1%(10,082)58.2%(15,390)R+20.1R+28.6
201050.9%(15,128)42.3%(12,582)D+8.6R+26.4
200665.7%(22,255)30.7%(10,406)D+35.0D+47.2
200241.9%(11,472)54.1%(14,825)R+12.2R+8.0
199845.4%(13,123)49.6%(14,336)R+4.2D+35.7
199428.4%(8,799)68.4%(21,164)R+39.9R+36.4
199048.2%(15,627)51.8%(16,761)R+3.5R+37.0
198666.7%(19,446)33.3%(9,693)D+33.5D+0.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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