Cavalier County, ND

ND · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+48.8
2024 Margin
D+1.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
4K
Population

Cavalier County, ND (North Dakota) voted R+48.8 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 1,461 votes (73.53%) to 491 (24.71%) for Harris.

This represents a D+1.9% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Cavalier County is classified as a deep Republican county. Cavalier County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 3,633.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+48.8
2020→2024 SwingD+1.9%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population3,633
Median Age
48.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
22.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$69,531(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.3%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
81.3%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
8.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.4%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
42.0%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
35.9%(Primary Hub)
Evangelical
15.2%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
42.5%Significant Hub(3.4x)
Irish
10.2%
English
9.3%
French
4.4%Above Average(2.3x)
American Heritage
4.3%
Mexican
2.3%

Age Distribution

Median:48.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.9%
18-29
7.6%
30-44
12.1%
45-64
30.5%
65+
27.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
23.0%(13.6x US)
Retail Trade
9.4%(0.9x US)
Construction
8.4%(1.2x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.1%(0.9x US)
Manufacturing
3.3%(0.3x US)
Professional & TechnicalUnder-represented
3.3%(0.3x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202424.7%(491)73.5%(1,461)R+48.8D+1.9
202023.5%(474)74.2%(1,499)R+50.7R+6.8
201623.7%(476)67.7%(1,357)R+43.9R+25.7
201239.5%(818)57.8%(1,195)R+18.2R+8.9
200843.7%(930)53.0%(1,128)R+9.3D+16.7
200436.3%(887)62.3%(1,522)R+26.0D+11.8
200026.1%(618)63.8%(1,513)R+37.7R+27.8
199637.9%(941)47.9%(1,188)R+9.9D+11.2
199227.7%(866)48.9%(1,527)R+21.1D+0.9
198838.6%(1,333)60.6%(2,096)R+22.1D+18.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Cavalier County, ND18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202428.3%(562)71.4%(1,421)R+43.2D+11.3
202217.0%(267)71.5%(1,123)R+54.5R+33.3
201839.1%(765)60.3%(1,181)R+21.2D+47.9
201614.2%(290)83.3%(1,707)R+69.2R+74.5
201252.5%(1,087)47.2%(977)D+5.3D+69.5
201017.5%(322)81.6%(1,503)R+64.2R+120.1
200677.3%(1,322)21.3%(365)D+55.9D+13.4
200471.3%(1,758)28.7%(708)D+42.6D+15.1
200063.7%(1,509)36.3%(859)D+27.4R+18.8
199872.5%(1,754)26.2%(634)D+46.3D+19.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.3%(401)75.6%(1,491)R+55.3D+4.8
202017.1%(343)77.1%(1,551)R+60.1D+0.7
201618.6%(374)79.3%(1,598)R+60.8R+23.6
201230.3%(621)67.5%(1,384)R+37.2D+23.7
200818.9%(405)79.8%(1,713)R+61.0R+6.5
200421.5%(528)76.0%(1,863)R+54.4R+41.7
200043.6%(1,045)56.3%(1,350)R+12.7D+17.9
199634.7%(844)65.3%(1,588)R+30.6D+1.2
199233.1%(1,013)65.0%(1,985)R+31.8R+53.0
198860.6%(2,085)39.4%(1,357)D+21.1D+16.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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