Vance County, NC

NC · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+13.3
2024 Margin
R+5.9%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1988
Voting Streak
42K
Population

Vance County, NC (North Carolina) voted D+13.3 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 11,292 votes (56.2%) to 8,614 (42.87%) for Trump.

This represents a R+5.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Vance County is classified as a lean Democratic county. Vance County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The county has a population of approximately 42,322.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+13.3
2020→2024 SwingR+5.9%
Voting StreakD since 1988
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population42,322
Median Age
39.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
17.2%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$50,465(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
37.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
9.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
49.9%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
60.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
19.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
4.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
33.7%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
10.0%(Above Average)
Black Protestant
6.5%(Major Center)
Catholic
1.2%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
8.8%Above Average(1.6x)
English
8.7%
Mexican
7.7%
Irish
4.7%
German
3.1%

Age Distribution

Median:39.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.0%
18-29
8.6%
30-44
17.5%
45-64
30.6%
65+
19.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
16.8%(1.7x US)
Retail Trade
14.9%(1.4x US)
Educational Services
9.9%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
9.8%(0.8x US)
Construction
6.6%
Healthcare & Social Services
4.0%(0.9x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202456.2%(11,292)42.9%(8,614)D+13.3R+5.9
202059.2%(12,431)40.0%(8,391)D+19.2R+5.3
201661.2%(12,229)36.7%(7,332)D+24.5R+3.8
201263.9%(13,323)35.6%(7,429)D+28.3D+1.6
200863.1%(13,166)36.4%(7,606)D+26.6D+14.7
200455.9%(8,762)43.9%(6,884)D+12.0R+0.1
200055.8%(7,092)43.8%(5,564)D+12.0R+2.9
199654.9%(6,385)40.0%(4,651)D+14.9D+0.4
199251.5%(6,598)37.1%(4,747)D+14.5D+14.4
198849.9%(5,631)49.9%(5,625)D+0.1D+7.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Vance County, NC18922024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202254.7%(7,097)43.3%(5,620)D+11.4R+9.6
202058.8%(12,247)37.8%(7,876)D+21.0R+2.8
201661.0%(12,056)37.3%(7,362)D+23.8R+1.2
201460.9%(8,525)35.9%(5,031)D+25.0D+6.2
201058.5%(8,137)39.7%(5,524)D+18.8R+16.7
200866.9%(13,900)31.4%(6,519)D+35.5D+13.5
200460.6%(9,633)38.6%(6,137)D+22.0D+7.1
200257.1%(5,584)42.2%(4,126)D+14.9R+8.5
199861.4%(5,316)37.9%(3,287)D+23.4D+18.5
199652.1%(6,213)47.2%(5,629)D+4.9R+9.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202461.1%(12,041)36.0%(7,103)D+25.0R+1.5
202062.8%(13,160)36.3%(7,608)D+26.5D+1.9
201661.8%(12,267)37.2%(7,381)D+24.6R+0.6
201262.1%(12,880)36.9%(7,647)D+25.2R+11.7
200867.7%(14,066)30.8%(6,400)D+36.9R+4.3
200470.2%(11,177)29.0%(4,614)D+41.2D+5.1
200067.7%(8,875)31.7%(4,147)D+36.1R+4.7
199670.1%(8,351)29.3%(3,487)D+40.8D+14.8
199261.7%(8,009)35.7%(4,636)D+26.0D+16.2
198854.9%(6,489)45.1%(5,329)D+9.8R+6.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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