Transylvania County, NC

NC · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+12.1
2024 Margin
D+3.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
34K
Population

Transylvania County, NC (North Carolina) voted R+12.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 11,492 votes (55.3%) to 8,972 (43.18%) for Harris.

This represents a D+3.5% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Transylvania County is classified as a lean Republican county. Transylvania County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 33,691.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+12.1
2020→2024 SwingD+3.5%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population33,691
Median Age
51.6(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
40.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$66,184(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
88.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.2%(US: 19.1%)
Black
3.1%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
74.7%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
9.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.7%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
34.8%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
9.2%(Above Average)
Catholic
6.5%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.1%
Black Protestant
0.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
19.1%Above Average(2.2x)
Irish
15.7%Above Average(1.7x)
German
14.3%
American Heritage
7.1%(1.3x)
Scotch-Irish
3.9%Major Concentration(5.0x)
Italian
3.0%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:51.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
15.7%
18-29
7.4%
30-44
14.5%
45-64
31.5%
65+
30.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
13.8%(1.3x US)
ConstructionRegional Strength
10.8%(1.6x US)
Manufacturing
10.5%
Educational Services
9.7%(1.1x US)
Professional & Technical
9.5%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.6%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202443.2%(8,972)55.3%(11,492)R+12.1D+3.5
202041.4%(8,444)57.0%(11,636)R+15.6D+6.5
201636.7%(6,558)58.9%(10,520)R+22.2R+5.4
201240.7%(6,826)57.5%(9,634)R+16.8R+4.2
200843.0%(7,275)55.6%(9,401)R+12.6D+8.5
200439.1%(6,097)60.2%(9,386)R+21.1D+6.8
200035.5%(5,044)63.4%(9,011)R+27.9R+13.2
199637.6%(4,842)52.3%(6,734)R+14.7R+8.1
199239.0%(5,120)45.5%(5,984)R+6.6D+17.5
198837.8%(4,280)61.9%(7,009)R+24.1D+6.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Transylvania County, NC18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202242.5%(6,867)54.6%(8,832)R+12.2D+2.9
202040.4%(8,158)55.5%(11,209)R+15.1D+4.6
201638.2%(6,749)57.9%(10,221)R+19.7R+8.5
201441.8%(5,479)53.0%(6,945)R+11.2D+7.5
201039.4%(4,867)58.1%(7,181)R+18.7R+16.9
200847.1%(7,919)48.9%(8,219)R+1.8D+12.4
200442.0%(6,421)56.2%(8,586)R+14.2R+0.6
200242.5%(4,862)56.1%(6,416)R+13.6R+8.9
199846.4%(5,324)51.0%(5,863)R+4.7D+4.6
199644.1%(5,642)53.3%(6,826)R+9.3D+2.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202451.3%(10,483)44.2%(9,024)D+7.1D+14.9
202045.4%(9,226)53.1%(10,800)R+7.7D+3.3
201643.0%(7,598)54.0%(9,549)R+11.0D+11.2
201237.5%(6,205)59.7%(9,879)R+22.2R+19.9
200846.9%(7,844)49.2%(8,230)R+2.3R+2.5
200449.1%(7,538)48.9%(7,506)D+0.2D+19.0
200039.1%(5,557)57.9%(8,219)R+18.7R+12.7
199646.0%(5,931)52.0%(6,709)R+6.0R+5.5
199248.1%(6,195)48.7%(6,269)R+0.6D+19.4
198840.0%(4,578)60.0%(6,858)R+19.9R+5.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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