Transylvania County, North Carolina
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Democrats in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(9) | 5.2% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 3.6% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.8% | 64.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.2% | 17.0% |
| Catholic | 6.5% | 12.2% |
| Other | 2.7% | 5.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.0% |
| Non-religious | 46.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+12.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+15.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+22.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+16.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+12.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+21.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.9 |
| 1996 | Dole+14.7 |
| 1992 | Bush+6.6 |
Transylvania, North Carolina is a county that has a population of 33,691. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+12.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43.2% | 55.3% | R+12.1 | D+3.5 |
| 2020 | 41.4% | 57.0% | R+15.6 | D+6.5 |
| 2016 | 36.7% | 58.9% | R+22.2 | R+5.4 |
| 2012 | 40.7% | 57.5% | R+16.8 | R+4.2 |
| 2008 | 43.0% | 55.6% | R+12.6 | D+8.5 |
| 2004 | 39.1% | 60.2% | R+21.1 | D+6.8 |
| 2000 | 35.5% | 63.3% | R+27.9 | R+13.2 |
| 1996 | 37.6% | 52.3% | R+14.7 | R+8.1 |
| 1992 | 39.0% | 45.6% | R+6.6 | D+17.5 |
| 1988 | 37.8% | 61.9% | R+24.1 | D+6.0 |
| 1984 | 34.8% | 64.9% | R+30.1 | R+21.1 |
| 1980 | 43.7% | 52.6% | R+8.9 | R+15.1 |
| 1976 | 52.7% | 46.5% | D+6.2 | D+48.3 |
| 1972 | 27.6% | 69.7% | R+42.1 | R+20.9 |
| 1968 | 25.7% | 46.9% | R+21.2 | R+32.8 |
| 1964 | 55.8% | 44.2% | D+11.7 | D+22.6 |
| 1960 | 44.5% | 55.5% | R+10.9 | R+4.6 |
| 1956 | 46.8% | 53.2% | R+6.3 | R+1.1 |
| 1952 | 47.4% | 52.6% | R+5.3 | R+7.1 |
| 1948 | 48.3% | 46.4% | D+1.9 | — |
What defines Transylvania?
Transylvania is a solidly Republican exurban geography that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. It shifted 3.5pp toward Democrats between 2020 and 2024. Its 34K residents are highly educated (40% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
Current North Carolina Polling
Contextual statewide polling for North Carolina. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 North Carolina Senate General Election
Roy Cooper leads at 48.8%
4 pollsLow
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Has flipped parties 13 times since 1868
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Governor