
Safe Republican — shifted 6.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 7.8% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 31.4% |
▶Asian(4) | 1.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 2.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 42.2% | 61.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 13.0% | 18.9% |
| Black Protestant | 7.4% | 10.7% |
| Catholic | 4.7% | 6.8% |
| Other | 1.4% | 2.1% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.2% |
| Non-religious | 31.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+20.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+9.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+3.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+1.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+4.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+11.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+28.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+30.9 |
Richmond, North Carolina is a county that has a population of 42,344. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+20.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39.2% | 60.0% | R+20.9 | R+6.0 |
| 2020 | 42.2% | 57.0% | R+14.8 | R+5.1 |
| 2016 | 44.0% | 53.7% | R+9.7 | R+12.7 |
| 2012 | 51.0% | 48.1% | D+3.0 | D+1.5 |
| 2008 | 50.3% | 48.8% | D+1.5 | R+2.7 |
| 2004 | 51.9% | 47.7% | D+4.2 | R+7.6 |
| 2000 | 55.6% | 43.9% | D+11.7 | R+16.3 |
| 1996 | 59.1% | 31.0% | D+28.1 | R+2.9 |
| 1992 | 58.9% | 28.0% | D+30.9 | D+14.0 |
| 1988 | 58.3% | 41.4% | D+16.9 | D+12.2 |
| 1984 | 52.3% | 47.5% | D+4.8 | R+25.4 |
| 1980 | 63.9% | 33.7% | D+30.2 | R+20.8 |
| 1976 | 75.4% | 24.4% | D+51.0 | D+74.3 |
| 1972 | 37.5% | 60.8% | R+23.3 | R+34.4 |
| 1968 | 33.8% | 22.8% | D+11.1 | R+35.3 |
| 1964 | 73.2% | 26.8% | D+46.3 | D+3.1 |
| 1960 | 71.6% | 28.4% | D+43.3 | D+4.5 |
| 1956 | 69.4% | 30.6% | D+38.8 | D+1.6 |
| 1952 | 68.6% | 31.4% | D+37.2 | R+20.5 |
| 1948 | 72.0% | 14.2% | D+57.7 | — |
Richmond has been trending Republican — 24pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (45% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Contextual statewide polling for North Carolina. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Roy Cooper leads at 48.8%