Orange County, NC

NC · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+50.8
2024 Margin
R+0.2%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1932
Voting Streak
150K
Population

Orange County, NC (North Carolina) voted D+50.8 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 65,444 votes (74.53%) to 20,806 (23.7%) for Trump.

This represents a R+0.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Orange County is classified as a deep Democratic county. Orange County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1932. The county has a population of approximately 149,678.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+50.8
2020→2024 SwingR+0.2%
Voting StreakD since 1932
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population149,678
Median Age
36.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
61.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$90,089(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
66.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
10.6%(US: 19.1%)
Black
10.7%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
7.8%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
63.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
9.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
17.3%
Mainline Protestant
13.1%(Major Center)
Evangelical
10.4%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
4.0%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.3%
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
15.6%Above Average(1.8x)
German
11.1%
Irish
10.0%
Mexican
5.2%
Italian
4.8%
American Heritage
4.0%
+ 5 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:36.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
18.9%
18-29
18.1%
30-44
17.5%
45-64
29.5%
65+
16.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
16.1%(1.4x US)
Educational Services
9.1%
Retail Trade
8.3%(0.8x US)
Manufacturing
5.5%(0.6x US)
Construction
5.1%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.4%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202474.5%(65,444)23.7%(20,806)D+50.8R+0.2
202074.8%(63,594)23.7%(20,176)D+51.1D+0.8
201672.8%(59,923)22.5%(18,557)D+50.2D+8.1
201270.2%(53,901)28.1%(21,539)D+42.2R+2.6
200871.8%(53,806)27.1%(20,266)D+44.8D+10.3
200466.9%(42,910)32.4%(20,771)D+34.5D+8.2
200062.7%(30,921)36.3%(17,930)D+26.3R+2.8
199661.3%(28,674)32.2%(15,053)D+29.1R+3.8
199260.5%(28,595)27.5%(13,009)D+33.0D+11.8
198860.2%(22,326)39.1%(14,503)D+21.1D+7.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Orange County, NC18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202276.8%(51,125)21.4%(14,213)D+55.5D+7.7
202072.4%(61,214)24.7%(20,862)D+47.7D+3.7
201670.7%(57,877)26.7%(21,884)D+44.0R+5.1
201473.3%(38,705)24.2%(12,779)D+49.1D+11.4
201067.7%(31,092)30.0%(13,791)D+37.6R+5.8
200870.3%(52,037)26.9%(19,882)D+43.4D+6.5
200467.8%(43,476)30.9%(19,797)D+36.9D+7.1
200264.3%(25,401)34.5%(13,629)D+29.8R+8.3
199868.2%(23,789)30.2%(10,519)D+38.1D+1.5
199667.6%(32,361)31.0%(14,851)D+36.6D+3.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202479.9%(69,068)16.8%(14,524)D+63.1D+8.6
202076.7%(65,042)22.2%(18,810)D+54.5D+3.0
201674.8%(61,344)23.4%(19,153)D+51.5D+19.4
201264.4%(48,684)32.4%(24,492)D+32.0R+2.8
200865.1%(47,888)30.3%(22,288)D+34.8R+10.6
200471.7%(45,681)26.3%(16,782)D+45.4D+9.1
200067.0%(33,837)30.7%(15,528)D+36.3R+9.8
199671.8%(34,542)25.7%(12,371)D+46.1D+3.9
199269.1%(31,999)26.9%(12,476)D+42.1D+30.0
198856.1%(20,546)43.9%(16,083)D+12.2R+3.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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