McDowell County, NC

NC · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+49.1
2024 Margin
R+1.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
45K
Population

McDowell County, NC (North Carolina) voted R+49.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 17,520 votes (74.06%) to 5,911 (24.99%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. McDowell County is classified as a deep Republican county. McDowell County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 44,817.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+49.1
2020→2024 SwingR+1.0%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population44,817
Median Age
44.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
18.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$57,168(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
86.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
7.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
3.9%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
75.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
14.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
32.5%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
5.3%
Catholic
4.4%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.3%
LDS/Mormon
0.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
14.3%Above Average(1.6x)
American Heritage
11.7%Above Average(2.2x)
Irish
10.4%
German
8.7%
Mexican
4.5%
Scotch-Irish
3.3%Major Concentration(4.3x)
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:44.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.4%
18-29
7.2%
30-44
18.1%
45-64
34.4%
65+
21.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
23.0%(2.3x US)
Retail Trade
10.5%
Construction
7.4%
Professional & Technical
6.1%(0.5x US)
Educational Services
5.5%(0.6x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.9%(0.9x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202425.0%(5,911)74.1%(17,520)R+49.1R+1.0
202025.4%(5,832)73.4%(16,883)R+48.0D+1.8
201623.5%(4,667)73.3%(14,568)R+49.8R+18.1
201233.3%(6,031)65.1%(11,775)R+31.7R+4.7
200835.7%(6,571)62.7%(11,534)R+27.0D+5.9
200433.3%(5,330)66.2%(10,590)R+32.9R+1.7
200033.9%(4,747)65.0%(9,109)R+31.1R+16.0
199637.1%(4,553)52.2%(6,407)R+15.1R+9.2
199239.9%(5,309)45.8%(6,090)R+5.9D+13.0
198840.5%(4,449)59.3%(6,526)R+18.9D+11.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

McDowell County, NC18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202224.2%(3,895)73.2%(11,776)R+49.0R+5.2
202026.1%(5,934)69.9%(15,894)R+43.8D+1.1
201625.1%(4,901)70.0%(13,671)R+44.9R+13.1
201430.8%(3,402)62.6%(6,920)R+31.8D+3.4
201031.0%(3,794)66.2%(8,104)R+35.2R+26.2
200842.9%(7,879)51.9%(9,534)R+9.0D+11.1
200439.1%(6,179)59.2%(9,366)R+20.2R+8.6
200243.4%(4,901)54.9%(6,202)R+11.5R+6.3
199846.1%(5,076)51.4%(5,656)R+5.3D+18.1
199637.4%(4,683)60.8%(7,618)R+23.4R+15.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.3%(7,513)63.3%(14,724)R+31.0D+7.9
202029.9%(6,851)68.8%(15,761)R+38.9R+3.1
201630.7%(6,022)66.4%(13,049)R+35.8R+0.9
201231.3%(5,624)66.2%(11,905)R+34.9R+29.0
200845.0%(8,219)50.8%(9,289)R+5.9R+4.4
200448.5%(7,740)49.9%(7,969)R+1.4D+4.8
200045.9%(6,458)52.1%(7,336)R+6.2R+6.6
199649.5%(6,246)49.2%(6,201)D+0.4R+2.1
199249.6%(6,654)47.2%(6,320)D+2.5D+10.9
198845.8%(5,173)54.2%(6,128)R+8.5R+5.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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