Lincoln County, NC

NC · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+45.6
2024 Margin
D+0.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
93K
Population

Lincoln County, NC (North Carolina) voted R+45.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 40,183 votes (72.29%) to 14,842 (26.7%) for Harris.

This represents a D+0.3% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Lincoln County is classified as a deep Republican county. Lincoln County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 92,716.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+45.6
2020→2024 SwingD+0.3%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population92,716
Median Age
44.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
28.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$80,016(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
82.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
8.1%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.2%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
78.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
4.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
26.5%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
15.0%(Major Center)
Catholic
7.4%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.1%
LDS/Mormon
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
16.3%(1.3x)
English
12.9%(1.5x)
American Heritage
10.9%Above Average(2.0x)
Irish
9.8%
Mexican
4.3%
Italian
3.2%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:44.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
20.6%
18-29
7.3%
30-44
16.8%
45-64
35.8%
65+
19.5%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
16.1%(1.6x US)
Retail Trade
11.0%
Professional & Technical
11.0%
Construction
10.0%(1.5x US)
Educational Services
6.0%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.7%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202426.7%(14,842)72.3%(40,183)R+45.6D+0.3
202026.4%(13,274)72.4%(36,341)R+45.9D+1.3
201624.7%(9,897)72.0%(28,806)R+47.2R+8.5
201230.0%(11,024)68.7%(25,267)R+38.7R+5.4
200832.7%(11,713)66.0%(23,631)R+33.3D+2.6
200431.9%(9,434)67.8%(20,052)R+35.9R+5.2
200034.3%(8,412)65.0%(15,951)R+30.7R+12.9
199637.0%(7,721)54.9%(11,439)R+17.8R+5.0
199236.5%(8,150)49.3%(11,018)R+12.8D+15.9
198835.5%(6,444)64.3%(11,651)R+28.7D+6.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lincoln County, NC18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202226.0%(9,418)72.0%(26,130)R+46.1R+2.2
202025.8%(12,858)69.7%(34,673)R+43.8D+1.8
201624.8%(9,798)70.4%(27,867)R+45.7R+7.2
201428.1%(6,690)66.5%(15,860)R+38.5R+1.0
201030.0%(6,958)67.5%(15,653)R+37.5R+18.5
200838.3%(13,597)57.2%(20,333)R+19.0D+7.2
200436.0%(10,657)62.2%(18,422)R+26.2R+3.4
200237.4%(7,649)60.2%(12,309)R+22.8R+17.6
199846.0%(8,001)51.2%(8,907)R+5.2D+18.5
199637.2%(8,018)61.0%(13,130)R+23.7R+4.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202435.0%(19,084)59.1%(32,188)R+24.0D+15.8
202029.4%(14,730)69.3%(34,711)R+39.9D+0.8
201628.4%(11,331)69.2%(27,558)R+40.7D+12.8
201222.4%(8,227)76.0%(27,845)R+53.5R+15.6
200830.0%(10,691)67.8%(24,193)R+37.9R+31.4
200446.0%(13,654)52.5%(15,584)R+6.5D+7.7
200042.0%(10,465)56.2%(14,003)R+14.2R+8.1
199646.4%(10,023)52.5%(11,341)R+6.1R+0.6
199244.8%(9,929)50.3%(11,160)R+5.5D+17.6
198838.4%(7,066)61.6%(11,320)R+23.1D+3.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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