Caldwell County, NC

NC · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+52.5
2024 Margin
R+1.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1980
Voting Streak
81K
Population

Caldwell County, NC (North Carolina) voted R+52.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 33,009 votes (75.81%) to 10,146 (23.3%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Caldwell County is classified as a deep Republican county. Caldwell County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The county has a population of approximately 80,536.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+52.5
2020→2024 SwingR+1.4%
Voting StreakR since 1980
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population80,536
Median Age
45.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
18.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$56,425(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
85.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
6.7%(US: 19.1%)
Black
4.8%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
73.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
43.4%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
6.3%
Catholic
5.0%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.6%
LDS/Mormon
0.7%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

American Heritage
19.3%Significant Hub(3.6x)
English
15.2%Above Average(1.7x)
German
13.5%
Irish
10.5%
Mexican
2.7%
Scotch-Irish
1.9%Above Average(2.5x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:45.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.7%
18-29
7.5%
30-44
17.2%
45-64
34.1%
65+
21.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
20.1%(2.0x US)
Retail Trade
11.9%(1.1x US)
Educational Services
8.3%
Professional & Technical
7.9%(0.7x US)
Construction
7.6%(1.1x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.5%
National average

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202423.3%(10,146)75.8%(33,009)R+52.5R+1.4
202023.9%(10,245)75.0%(32,119)R+51.1R+1.0
201623.2%(8,425)73.3%(26,621)R+50.1R+14.6
201231.4%(10,898)66.9%(23,229)R+35.5R+5.8
200834.4%(12,081)64.1%(22,526)R+29.7D+6.0
200431.9%(9,999)67.6%(21,186)R+35.7R+2.2
200032.9%(8,588)66.4%(17,337)R+33.5R+13.4
199635.1%(8,050)55.2%(12,653)R+20.1R+6.3
199235.3%(9,033)49.0%(12,543)R+13.7D+18.0
198834.1%(7,862)65.8%(15,176)R+31.7D+8.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Caldwell County, NC18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202222.9%(6,404)74.9%(20,900)R+51.9R+5.5
202024.3%(10,288)70.8%(29,971)R+46.5D+0.8
201623.8%(8,538)71.1%(25,532)R+47.3R+13.8
201429.8%(6,258)63.3%(13,309)R+33.5D+0.4
201031.4%(6,908)65.4%(14,382)R+34.0R+20.8
200840.7%(14,310)53.9%(18,925)R+13.1D+14.2
200435.4%(11,079)62.7%(19,612)R+27.3R+6.1
200238.1%(8,511)59.3%(13,245)R+21.2R+10.8
199843.6%(7,190)54.0%(8,897)R+10.4D+17.1
199635.4%(8,409)62.9%(14,918)R+27.4R+5.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202430.3%(12,932)64.5%(27,563)R+34.2D+8.7
202027.9%(11,926)70.8%(30,234)R+42.9R+1.1
201627.8%(10,055)69.6%(25,173)R+41.8D+7.9
201224.1%(8,402)73.8%(25,771)R+49.8R+21.6
200834.6%(12,187)62.7%(22,096)R+28.1R+19.6
200444.9%(14,061)53.4%(16,724)R+8.5D+6.5
200041.2%(10,963)56.2%(14,958)R+15.0R+9.5
199646.7%(11,140)52.2%(12,469)R+5.6D+1.1
199244.3%(11,593)50.9%(13,333)R+6.6D+15.3
198839.0%(8,995)61.0%(14,047)R+21.9R+0.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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