Buncombe County, NC

NC · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+24.7
2024 Margin
D+3.6%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
274K
Population

Buncombe County, NC (North Carolina) voted D+24.7 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 98,662 votes (61.47%) to 59,016 (36.77%) for Trump.

This represents a D+3.6% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Buncombe County is classified as a solid Democratic county. Buncombe County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 274,360.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+24.7
2020→2024 SwingD+3.6%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population274,360
Median Age
42.6(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
45.9%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$74,436(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
8.6%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.7%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.1%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
66.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
11.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
4.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
33.9%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
7.3%
Catholic
7.2%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.8%
LDS/Mormon
0.6%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

English
26.9%Significant Hub(3.0x)
German
12.3%
Irish
10.3%
American Heritage
6.1%
Mexican
4.3%
Italian
4.0%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
17.8%
18-29
7.5%
30-44
20.7%
45-64
32.8%
65+
21.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Educational ServicesRegional Strength
12.9%(1.5x US)
Professional & Technical
12.7%
Retail Trade
12.0%(1.1x US)
Manufacturing
9.5%
Construction
7.5%(1.1x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.0%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202461.5%(98,662)36.8%(59,016)D+24.7D+3.6
202059.7%(96,515)38.6%(62,412)D+21.1D+6.9
201654.3%(75,452)40.1%(55,716)D+14.2D+1.7
201255.3%(70,625)42.8%(54,701)D+12.5R+1.4
200856.3%(69,716)42.4%(52,494)D+13.9D+14.5
200449.4%(51,868)50.0%(52,491)R+0.6D+8.2
200045.1%(38,545)53.9%(46,101)R+8.8R+10.5
199645.8%(31,658)44.2%(30,518)D+1.7R+1.1
199243.6%(32,955)40.9%(30,892)D+2.7D+18.1
198842.1%(26,964)57.5%(36,828)R+15.4D+8.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Buncombe County, NC18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202261.4%(73,807)36.0%(43,222)D+25.5D+5.5
202057.9%(92,664)37.9%(60,688)D+20.0D+5.6
201655.2%(75,897)40.8%(56,086)D+14.4R+3.5
201456.9%(49,455)39.0%(33,872)D+17.9D+14.9
201050.2%(39,017)47.1%(36,632)D+3.1R+16.5
200857.8%(70,777)38.3%(46,855)D+19.5D+14.6
200451.4%(51,745)46.5%(46,763)D+5.0D+5.0
200249.4%(31,359)49.4%(31,360)R+0.0R+5.9
199852.1%(30,321)46.2%(26,902)D+5.9D+4.3
199649.9%(35,813)48.3%(34,648)D+1.6D+5.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202467.6%(106,611)28.1%(44,373)D+39.5D+13.8
202062.0%(99,395)36.2%(58,153)D+25.7D+4.0
201659.3%(81,877)37.6%(51,874)D+21.7D+16.3
201251.0%(64,389)45.6%(57,541)D+5.4R+13.0
200857.2%(69,783)38.8%(47,283)D+18.5D+0.5
200457.7%(58,863)39.8%(40,551)D+18.0D+13.7
200050.5%(43,436)46.3%(39,802)D+4.2R+1.2
199651.7%(36,973)46.3%(33,086)D+5.4R+1.4
199252.2%(38,748)45.3%(33,659)D+6.9D+19.1
198843.9%(28,881)56.1%(36,968)R+12.3R+6.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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