Warren County, NY

NY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+4.2
2024 Margin
R+4.0%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
66K
Population

Warren County, NY (New York) voted R+4.2 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 18,606 votes (51.58%) to 17,099 (47.4%) for Harris.

This represents a R+4.0% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Warren County is classified as a competitive Republican county. Warren County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016. The county has a population of approximately 65,517.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+4.2
2020→2024 SwingR+4.0%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population65,517
Median Age
46.8(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
36.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$78,442(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
91.9%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.2%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
72.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
10.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.1%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
22.2%
Mainline Protestant
5.3%
Evangelical
4.9%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.9%
Jewish
0.2%
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Irish
21.1%Above Average(2.3x)
English
15.4%Above Average(1.7x)
German
13.4%
Italian
12.9%Significant Hub(2.7x)
French
6.2%Significant Hub(3.2x)
American Heritage
4.8%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:46.8 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
17.5%
18-29
6.7%
30-44
18.6%
45-64
32.8%
65+
24.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
11.0%
Professional & Technical
9.8%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
9.7%(1.1x US)
Manufacturing
9.2%
Construction
7.3%
Healthcare & Social Services
4.1%(0.9x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202447.4%(17,099)51.6%(18,606)R+4.2R+4.0
202048.8%(17,642)49.0%(17,699)R+0.2D+8.3
201641.7%(13,091)50.1%(15,751)R+8.5R+10.8
201250.1%(14,806)47.7%(14,119)D+2.3R+0.3
200850.5%(16,281)47.9%(15,429)D+2.6D+14.1
200443.2%(13,405)54.6%(16,969)R+11.5R+1.7
200042.6%(12,193)52.4%(14,993)R+9.8R+11.5
199643.3%(11,603)41.6%(11,152)D+1.7D+10.2
199234.1%(9,820)42.6%(12,260)R+8.5D+21.1
198834.9%(8,580)64.4%(15,860)R+29.6D+20.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Warren County, NY18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202451.8%(18,162)47.7%(16,728)D+4.1D+6.6
202243.9%(12,250)46.4%(12,943)R+2.5R+16.1
201856.8%(14,634)43.2%(11,118)D+13.7R+8.7
201659.5%(17,885)37.2%(11,164)D+22.4R+13.2
201267.1%(19,347)31.6%(9,095)D+35.6R+9.1
2010121.4%(27,364)76.8%(17,295)D+44.7D+26.3
200658.1%(12,930)39.8%(8,851)D+18.3D+1.4
200456.0%(15,611)39.0%(10,889)D+16.9D+36.2
200039.4%(11,105)58.7%(16,530)R+19.3R+3.9
199841.2%(7,984)56.6%(10,961)R+15.4D+5.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202244.0%(12,373)56.0%(15,761)R+12.0D+6.8
201837.6%(9,815)56.5%(14,745)R+18.9D+1.2
201435.4%(6,767)55.5%(10,605)R+20.1R+33.1
201053.7%(12,351)40.7%(9,365)D+13.0R+11.0
200661.0%(13,923)37.1%(8,457)D+24.0D+58.7
200223.5%(4,831)58.3%(11,964)R+34.7D+22.8
199813.8%(2,789)71.3%(14,436)R+57.5R+13.2
199424.1%(5,551)68.5%(15,744)R+44.3R+53.5
199038.9%(6,933)29.7%(5,290)D+9.2D+6.0
198650.5%(8,181)47.2%(7,655)D+3.2D+43.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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