Question 1

How did Orange, New York vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Orange, New York voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+8.4. Kamala D Harris received 80,253 votes and Donald Trump received 94,936 out of 175,660 total votes cast, a 8.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Orange, New York's political history?

Accepted Answer

Orange, New York has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 5 and Republicans 35 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 44.8 points in 1968.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Orange, New York?

Accepted Answer

Orange, New York has a population of 406,616 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 57.9% non-Hispanic white, 23.9% Hispanic, 11.6% Black. About 33% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $97,178.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Orange, New York?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Orange, New York are Maricopa, Lehigh, Seminole. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	57.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	23.9%
▶Black / African American(14)	11.6%
▶Asian(6)	2.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	1.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.7%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	24.9%	56.3%
Other	12.0%	27.2%
Evangelical Protestant	3.5%	7.8%
Mainline Protestant	3.3%	7.5%
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.7%
Black Protestant	0.4%	0.8%
Orthodox Christian	0.1%	0.3%
Non-religious	55.8%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+8.4
2020	Trump+0.2
2016	Trump+5.5
2012	Obama+5.7
2008	Obama+4.1
2004	Bush+10.8
2000	Bush+3.7
1996	Clinton+7.9
1992	Bush+6.2

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	45.7%	54.0%	R+8.4	R+8.2
2020	49.2%	49.4%	R+0.2	D+5.3
2016	44.9%	50.4%	R+5.5	R+11.2
2012	52.1%	46.5%	D+5.7	D+1.5
2008	51.5%	47.4%	D+4.1	D+15.0
2004	43.8%	54.7%	R+10.8	R+7.1
2000	46.0%	49.7%	R+3.7	R+11.6
1996	48.0%	40.1%	D+7.9	D+14.1
1992	37.5%	43.7%	R+6.2	D+19.6
1988	36.7%	62.4%	R+25.7	D+10.1
1984	31.9%	67.8%	R+35.9	R+12.4
1980	33.2%	56.7%	R+23.5	R+13.2
1976	44.5%	54.8%	R+10.3	D+31.9
1972	28.8%	71.0%	R+42.2	R+19.7
1968	33.6%	56.1%	R+22.5	R+44.8
1964	61.1%	38.8%	D+22.3	D+43.8
1960	39.2%	60.7%	R+21.4	D+33.6
1956	22.4%	77.5%	R+55.1	R+10.8
1952	26.9%	71.2%	R+44.3	R+14.0
1948	32.8%	63.1%	R+30.3	—

Orange County, New York

County in State Context

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