Orange County, NY

NY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+8.4
2024 Margin
R+8.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
407K
Population

Orange County, NY (New York) voted R+8.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 94,936 votes (54.05%) to 80,253 (45.69%) for Harris.

This represents a R+8.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Orange County is classified as a lean Republican county. Orange County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016. The county has a population of approximately 406,616.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+8.4
2020→2024 SwingR+8.3%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population406,616
Median Age
37.0(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
32.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$97,178(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
59.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
23.9%(US: 19.1%)
Black
11.3%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
2.9%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
67.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.6%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
21.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
24.9%
Jewish
5.4%(Primary Hub)
Evangelical
3.5%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
3.3%
LDS/Mormon
0.8%
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Irish
13.2%(1.4x)
Italian
12.3%Significant Hub(2.6x)
German
9.0%
Puerto Rican
8.7%Major Concentration(5.2x)
American Heritage
5.0%
Mexican
5.0%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:37.0 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
25.6%
18-29
10.2%
30-44
17.9%
45-64
31.6%
65+
14.6%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
12.9%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
10.1%(0.8x US)
Construction
7.0%
Manufacturing
6.4%(0.6x US)
Educational Services
6.3%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.8%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202445.7%(80,253)54.0%(94,936)R+8.4R+8.3
202049.2%(84,955)49.3%(85,068)R+0.1D+5.4
201644.9%(68,278)50.4%(76,645)R+5.5R+11.2
201252.1%(73,315)46.5%(65,367)D+5.7D+1.5
200851.5%(78,326)47.4%(72,042)D+4.1D+15.0
200443.8%(63,394)54.7%(79,089)R+10.8R+7.1
200046.0%(58,170)49.7%(62,852)R+3.7R+11.6
199648.0%(54,995)40.1%(45,956)D+7.9D+14.1
199237.5%(45,946)43.7%(53,493)R+6.2D+19.6
198836.7%(38,465)62.4%(65,446)R+25.7D+10.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Orange County, NY18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202452.9%(89,114)46.5%(78,309)D+6.4D+7.9
202244.9%(54,826)46.3%(56,625)R+1.5R+14.0
201856.2%(67,701)43.7%(52,640)D+12.5R+9.1
201659.8%(87,368)38.1%(55,727)D+21.7R+10.4
201265.3%(88,689)33.2%(45,128)D+32.1D+8.2
2010109.2%(105,623)85.3%(82,545)D+23.9D+7.7
200657.2%(50,280)41.0%(36,065)D+16.2D+1.0
200455.1%(73,135)40.0%(53,011)D+15.2D+35.8
200038.7%(48,515)59.3%(74,328)R+20.6R+4.8
199841.4%(34,845)57.2%(48,143)R+15.8R+4.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202243.9%(54,386)56.1%(69,558)R+12.2R+9.0
201846.4%(56,882)49.7%(60,901)R+3.3D+5.4
201443.5%(37,617)52.2%(45,137)R+8.7R+23.9
201055.5%(53,631)40.3%(38,938)D+15.2R+15.2
200664.4%(56,770)34.0%(29,994)D+30.4D+72.1
200220.7%(17,866)62.4%(53,950)R+41.8D+7.6
199820.5%(17,538)69.9%(59,818)R+49.4R+13.6
199429.7%(27,961)65.5%(61,620)R+35.8R+44.9
199038.1%(27,044)28.9%(20,558)D+9.1D+3.0
198651.6%(33,924)45.5%(29,916)D+6.1D+27.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Explore More