Question 1

How did Jefferson, New York vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Jefferson, New York voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+23.6. Kamala D Harris received 16,326 votes and Donald Trump received 26,417 out of 42,843 total votes cast, a 4.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Jefferson, New York's political history?

Accepted Answer

Jefferson, New York has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The largest single-election swing was 61.4 points in 1964.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Jefferson, New York?

Accepted Answer

Jefferson, New York has a population of 115,040 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 80.2% non-Hispanic white, 7.5% Hispanic, 4.8% Black. About 26% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $66,301.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Jefferson, New York?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Jefferson, New York are Lyon, Vigo, Coles. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	80.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	7.5%
▶Black / African American(12)	4.8%
▶Asian(6)	1.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6)	0.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.4%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)	0.3%
Multiracial / Other	5.0%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	17.5%	59.3%
Mainline Protestant	5.7%	19.3%
Evangelical Protestant	3.9%	13.2%
Other	2.3%	7.7%
LDS (Mormon)	1.1%	3.9%
Black Protestant	0.1%	0.4%
Non-religious	70.4%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+23.6
2020	Trump+19.0
2016	Trump+20.8
2012	Romney+2.9
2008	McCain+5.3
2004	Bush+11.3
2000	Bush+3.8
1996	Clinton+12.9
1992	Bush+2.3

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	38.1%	61.7%	R+23.6	R+4.6
2020	39.5%	58.4%	R+19.0	D+1.8
2016	36.1%	56.9%	R+20.8	R+17.9
2012	47.9%	50.8%	R+2.9	D+2.4
2008	46.7%	52.0%	R+5.3	D+6.0
2004	43.5%	54.7%	R+11.3	R+7.4
2000	46.1%	49.9%	R+3.8	R+16.8
1996	49.2%	36.2%	D+12.9	D+15.2
1992	35.8%	38.0%	R+2.3	D+13.1
1988	42.0%	57.4%	R+15.4	D+20.8
1984	31.8%	68.0%	R+36.2	R+26.6
1980	40.1%	49.7%	R+9.6	D+10.7
1976	39.7%	60.0%	R+20.3	D+12.7
1972	33.4%	66.4%	R+33.0	R+16.8
1968	39.8%	56.0%	R+16.2	R+56.4
1964	70.1%	29.8%	D+40.3	D+61.4
1960	39.4%	60.6%	R+21.2	D+26.9
1956	25.9%	74.1%	R+48.1	R+6.9
1952	28.7%	69.9%	R+41.2	R+20.6
1948	38.3%	59.0%	R+20.6	—

Jefferson County, New York

County in State Context

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