Erie County, NY
NY · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
Erie County, NY (New York) voted D+9.5 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 248,651 votes (54.06%) to 204,774 (44.52%) for Trump.
This represents a R+5.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Erie County is classified as a lean Democratic county. Erie County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976. The county has a population of approximately 950,622.
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Quick Stats
Demographics
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Ancestry Groups
Source: Census ACSTop reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).
Age Distribution
Employment by Industry
Census ACSPresidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.1%(248,651) | 44.5%(204,774) | D+9.5 | R+5.2 |
| 2020 | 56.5%(267,270) | 41.7%(197,552) | D+14.7 | D+8.3 |
| 2016 | 50.9%(215,456) | 44.5%(188,303) | D+6.4 | R+9.9 |
| 2012 | 57.3%(237,356) | 41.0%(169,675) | D+16.3 | R+1.2 |
| 2008 | 58.0%(256,299) | 40.5%(178,815) | D+17.5 | D+2.6 |
| 2004 | 56.4%(251,090) | 41.4%(184,423) | D+15.0 | R+3.9 |
| 2000 | 56.6%(240,176) | 37.7%(160,176) | D+18.8 | R+3.6 |
| 1996 | 54.7%(224,554) | 32.3%(132,343) | D+22.5 | D+7.7 |
| 1992 | 43.5%(196,233) | 28.7%(129,444) | D+14.8 | D+3.2 |
| 1988 | 55.4%(238,779) | 43.8%(188,796) | D+11.6 | D+8.4 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Presidential Margin Trend
Erie County, NY • 1892–2024
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.1%(252,782) | 42.4%(187,547) | D+14.7 | R+1.4 |
| 2022 | 50.7%(171,967) | 34.6%(117,315) | D+16.1 | R+7.3 |
| 2018 | 61.7%(206,024) | 38.3%(127,860) | D+23.4 | R+17.0 |
| 2016 | 69.2%(284,110) | 28.8%(118,072) | D+40.4 | D+2.6 |
| 2012 | 68.1%(265,264) | 30.3%(117,861) | D+37.8 | R+16.3 |
| 2010 | 123.8%(365,728) | 69.7%(205,871) | D+54.1 | D+24.9 |
| 2006 | 63.6%(177,051) | 34.4%(95,848) | D+29.2 | R+20.0 |
| 2004 | 72.0%(290,210) | 22.8%(91,985) | D+49.2 | D+34.9 |
| 2000 | 56.1%(237,770) | 41.8%(177,168) | D+14.3 | D+0.9 |
| 1998 | 55.7%(163,828) | 42.2%(124,300) | D+13.4 | R+5.4 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 53.0%(180,626) | 47.0%(160,004) | D+6.1 | R+1.0 |
| 2018 | 51.4%(174,766) | 44.3%(150,679) | D+7.1 | R+2.0 |
| 2014 | 52.4%(125,617) | 43.3%(103,801) | D+9.1 | D+30.0 |
| 2010 | 37.6%(113,459) | 58.5%(176,690) | R+20.9 | R+50.4 |
| 2006 | 63.9%(177,926) | 34.4%(95,819) | D+29.5 | D+44.8 |
| 2002 | 29.0%(85,360) | 44.4%(130,377) | R+15.3 | D+18.2 |
| 1998 | 24.7%(76,001) | 58.2%(178,853) | R+33.5 | R+23.7 |
| 1994 | 41.9%(141,795) | 51.7%(174,933) | R+9.8 | R+48.8 |
| 1990 | 56.1%(152,975) | 17.1%(46,689) | D+39.0 | R+6.0 |
| 1986 | 70.8%(213,293) | 25.8%(77,754) | D+45.0 | D+44.7 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab