Dutchess County, NY

NY · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

D+5.4
2024 Margin
R+4.3%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
298K
Population

Dutchess County, NY (New York) voted D+5.4 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 79,994 votes (52.14%) to 71,778 (46.79%) for Trump.

This represents a R+4.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Dutchess County is classified as a lean Democratic county. Dutchess County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 298,220.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+5.4
2020→2024 SwingR+4.3%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population298,220
Median Age
42.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
41.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$99,478(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
67.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
15.4%(US: 19.1%)
Black
10.9%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
3.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
69.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
8.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
11.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
33.5%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
5.0%
Evangelical
4.4%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.2%
Jewish
0.6%
+ 1 more traditions

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Italian
18.0%Significant Hub(3.7x)
Irish
17.4%Above Average(1.9x)
German
12.0%
English
7.6%
American Heritage
6.3%
Puerto Rican
5.2%Significant Hub(3.1x)
+ 6 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
18.4%↓
18-29
10.3%↓
30-44
18.3%
45-64
34.0%↑
65+
19.1%↑
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
11.1%
Retail Trade
11.0%
Educational Services
8.1%
Manufacturing
6.6%(0.7x US)
Construction
6.3%
Healthcare & Social Services
4.8%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202452.1%(79,994)46.8%(71,778)D+5.4R+4.3
202054.0%(81,443)44.4%(66,872)D+9.7D+9.3
201647.5%(62,285)47.2%(61,821)D+0.4R+7.2
201252.8%(65,312)45.3%(56,025)D+7.5R+1.1
200853.7%(71,060)45.1%(59,628)D+8.6D+12.8
200447.0%(58,232)51.2%(63,372)R+4.1R+3.9
200046.9%(52,390)47.1%(52,669)R+0.3R+5.5
199645.6%(47,339)40.4%(41,929)D+5.2D+9.6
199236.1%(41,655)40.5%(46,709)R+4.4D+18.4
198838.2%(38,968)61.0%(62,165)R+22.8D+13.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Dutchess County, NY • 1892–2024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202455.5%(82,986)44.0%(65,871)D+11.4D+9.2
202245.7%(52,257)43.5%(49,706)D+2.2R+12.5
201857.4%(63,675)42.6%(47,268)D+14.8R+4.3
201658.3%(72,659)39.3%(48,934)D+19.0R+14.1
201265.8%(77,809)32.6%(38,607)D+33.1D+10.9
2010109.9%(91,861)87.7%(73,258)D+22.3D+7.8
200656.0%(45,536)41.6%(33,790)D+14.5R+10.6
200459.4%(66,100)34.3%(38,170)D+25.1D+40.2
200041.3%(45,658)56.5%(62,393)R+15.1R+0.1
199841.8%(31,431)56.8%(42,735)R+15.0R+5.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202248.3%(55,519)51.7%(59,486)R+3.4D+3.6
201845.2%(51,179)52.2%(59,131)R+7.0R+1.0
201444.1%(33,306)50.1%(37,832)R+6.0R+21.4
201055.8%(48,165)40.4%(34,874)D+15.4R+11.1
200662.2%(50,682)35.7%(29,095)D+26.5D+60.3
200224.5%(18,606)58.3%(44,289)R+33.8D+16.4
199819.8%(15,121)69.9%(53,442)R+50.2R+11.6
199428.1%(24,892)66.7%(59,053)R+38.6R+45.8
199036.8%(24,878)29.6%(19,985)D+7.2D+2.1
198651.0%(31,668)45.8%(28,474)D+5.1D+31.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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