Chautauqua County, New York
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 9.6% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 2.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 16.4% | 43.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.3% | 24.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 9.1% | 24.3% |
| Other | 2.1% | 5.7% |
| Black Protestant | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.3% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 62.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+21.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+19.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+23.1 |
| 2012 | Romney+7.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+0.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+8.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+3.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+9.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.3 |
Chautauqua, New York is a county that has a population of 125,544. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+21.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.9% | 60.8% | R+21.9 | R+2.1 |
| 2020 | 38.9% | 58.8% | R+19.8 | D+3.2 |
| 2016 | 35.2% | 58.3% | R+23.1 | R+15.2 |
| 2012 | 45.1% | 52.9% | R+7.9 | R+8.8 |
| 2008 | 49.5% | 48.6% | D+0.9 | D+9.4 |
| 2004 | 44.7% | 53.2% | R+8.5 | R+5.0 |
| 2000 | 46.0% | 49.5% | R+3.5 | R+13.4 |
| 1996 | 47.7% | 37.8% | D+9.9 | D+7.6 |
| 1992 | 36.1% | 33.8% | D+2.3 | D+12.3 |
| 1988 | 44.6% | 54.7% | R+10.1 | D+16.4 |
| 1984 | 36.6% | 63.1% | R+26.5 | R+14.2 |
| 1980 | 38.9% | 51.2% | R+12.3 | R+2.0 |
| 1976 | 44.7% | 54.9% | R+10.2 | D+6.9 |
| 1972 | 41.3% | 58.4% | R+17.1 | R+12.7 |
| 1968 | 44.4% | 48.8% | R+4.4 | R+42.8 |
| 1964 | 69.2% | 30.7% | D+38.4 | D+53.1 |
| 1960 | 42.6% | 57.3% | R+14.7 | D+22.4 |
| 1956 | 31.5% | 68.5% | R+37.1 | R+6.8 |
| 1952 | 33.8% | 64.1% | R+30.2 | R+11.3 |
| 1948 | 38.6% | 57.5% | R+18.9 | — |
What defines Chautauqua?
Chautauqua has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 21.9% margin
- The 2008 election was decided by just 0.9 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024