Chautauqua County, NY

NY · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+21.8
2024 Margin
R+1.9%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
126K
Population

Chautauqua County, NY (New York) voted R+21.8 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 34,528 votes (60.53%) to 22,085 (38.71%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.9% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Chautauqua County is classified as a solid Republican county. Chautauqua County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012. The county has a population of approximately 125,544.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+21.8
2020→2024 SwingR+1.9%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population125,544
Median Age
42.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
25.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$58,351(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
84.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
9.6%(US: 19.1%)
Black
2.6%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
68.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
7.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
16.4%
Mainline Protestant
9.3%(Above Average)
Evangelical
9.1%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
0.5%
LDS/Mormon
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
18.1%(1.5x)
English
13.3%(1.5x)
Italian
12.3%Significant Hub(2.6x)
Irish
11.9%(1.3x)
Polish
8.1%Significant Hub(3.3x)
Puerto Rican
7.1%Major Concentration(4.2x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
20.6%
18-29
9.2%
30-44
16.6%
45-64
32.3%
65+
21.4%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
15.5%(1.6x US)
Retail Trade
11.6%
Educational Services
8.2%
Professional & Technical
6.5%(0.5x US)
Construction
5.4%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.2%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202438.7%(22,085)60.5%(34,528)R+21.8R+1.9
202039.0%(23,088)58.9%(34,853)R+19.9D+3.2
201635.2%(19,091)58.3%(31,594)R+23.1R+15.2
201245.0%(23,812)52.9%(27,971)R+7.9R+8.8
200849.5%(29,129)48.6%(28,579)D+0.9D+9.4
200444.7%(27,257)53.2%(32,434)R+8.5R+5.0
200046.0%(27,016)49.5%(29,064)R+3.5R+13.4
199647.7%(26,831)37.8%(21,261)D+9.9D+7.6
199236.1%(22,645)33.8%(21,222)D+2.3D+12.3
198844.6%(25,814)54.7%(31,642)R+10.1D+16.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Chautauqua County, NY18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202442.4%(23,438)57.2%(31,622)R+14.8D+2.6
202235.4%(15,286)52.8%(22,797)R+17.4R+13.8
201848.2%(20,810)51.8%(22,361)R+3.6R+19.1
201656.8%(29,743)41.3%(21,614)D+15.5R+0.5
201257.2%(29,001)41.2%(20,869)D+16.0R+6.7
2010108.5%(42,438)85.7%(33,543)D+22.7D+12.0
200654.6%(20,126)43.8%(16,171)D+10.7R+17.5
200461.9%(34,116)33.6%(18,545)D+28.2D+37.5
200044.4%(25,787)53.7%(31,184)R+9.3D+2.0
199843.4%(17,215)54.7%(21,696)R+11.3R+12.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202235.0%(15,237)65.0%(28,268)R+30.0R+6.1
201835.5%(15,447)59.4%(25,823)R+23.9R+4.6
201438.4%(13,163)57.7%(19,771)R+19.3D+7.3
201035.2%(14,022)61.8%(24,593)R+26.6R+34.9
200653.4%(19,690)45.0%(16,610)D+8.4D+46.8
200222.0%(8,323)60.5%(22,869)R+38.5D+12.1
199818.9%(7,878)69.5%(28,945)R+50.6R+10.7
199427.4%(13,170)67.2%(32,335)R+39.8R+53.9
199039.5%(15,866)25.4%(10,221)D+14.0R+15.1
198663.9%(27,820)34.8%(15,126)D+29.2D+53.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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