Question 1

How did Valencia, New Mexico vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Valencia, New Mexico voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+16.4. Kamala D Harris received 13,609 votes and Donald Trump received 19,057 out of 33,277 total votes cast, a 6.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Valencia, New Mexico's political history?

Accepted Answer

Valencia, New Mexico has 29 presidential elections on record, spanning 1912 to 2024. Democrats have won 8 and Republicans 21 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 40.9 points in 1932.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Valencia, New Mexico?

Accepted Answer

Valencia, New Mexico has a population of 78,458 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 30.5% non-Hispanic white, 60.8% Hispanic, 1.1% Black. About 21% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $58,933.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Valencia, New Mexico?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Valencia, New Mexico are Caldwell, Atascosa, Pueblo. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	30.5%
▶Hispanic / Latino(11)	60.8%
▶Black / African American(4)	1.1%
▶Asian(5)	0.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.1%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	4.5%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	2.1%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	35.3%	71.4%
Evangelical Protestant	6.7%	13.5%
Other	5.6%	11.3%
LDS (Mormon)	3.5%	7.2%
Mainline Protestant	1.4%	2.9%
Black Protestant	0.5%	0.9%
Non-religious	50.6%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+16.4
2020	Trump+9.6
2016	Trump+8.6
2012	Obama+2.5
2008	Obama+7.7
2004	Bush+12.3
2000	Bush+4.6
1996	Clinton+7.5
1992	Clinton+7.1

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	40.9%	57.3%	R+16.4	R+6.8
2020	44.2%	53.8%	R+9.6	R+1.0
2016	39.3%	47.9%	R+8.6	R+11.1
2012	48.7%	46.3%	D+2.5	R+5.3
2008	53.2%	45.5%	D+7.7	D+20.0
2004	43.3%	55.6%	R+12.3	R+7.7
2000	45.9%	50.5%	R+4.6	R+12.1
1996	49.4%	41.9%	D+7.5	D+0.4
1992	44.7%	37.6%	D+7.1	D+12.0
1988	46.9%	51.8%	R+4.9	D+17.1
1984	38.4%	60.3%	R+21.9	D+0.5
1980	36.0%	58.4%	R+22.4	R+26.7
1976	51.7%	47.4%	D+4.3	D+18.8
1972	41.6%	56.1%	R+14.5	R+13.1
1968	46.1%	47.5%	R+1.4	R+33.7
1964	66.0%	33.6%	D+32.4	D+14.8
1960	58.8%	41.2%	D+17.6	D+31.3
1956	43.2%	56.8%	R+13.7	R+7.6
1952	47.0%	53.0%	R+6.0	D+0.4
1948	46.8%	53.2%	R+6.4	—

Valencia County, New Mexico

County in State Context

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