Valencia County, NM

NM · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+16.4
2024 Margin
R+6.8%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2016
Voting Streak
78K
Population

Valencia County, NM (New Mexico) voted R+16.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 19,057 votes (57.27%) to 13,609 (40.9%) for Harris.

This represents a R+6.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Valencia County is classified as a solid Republican county. Valencia County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2016. The county has a population of approximately 78,458.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+16.4
2020→2024 SwingR+6.8%
Voting StreakR since 2016
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population78,458
Median Age
39.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
20.9%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$58,933(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
31.1%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
60.8%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.3%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
83.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
18.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
9.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
26.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
35.3%(Above Average)
Evangelical
6.7%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
3.5%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
1.4%
Black Protestant
0.5%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
38.9%Significant Hub(3.5x)
English
7.5%
German
7.2%
Irish
5.4%
American Heritage
4.6%
Italian
2.0%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.7%
18-29
8.4%
30-44
19.8%
45-64
30.3%
65+
18.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
10.8%
Professional & Technical
10.6%(0.9x US)
Construction
10.3%(1.5x US)
Educational Services
8.4%
Healthcare & Social Services
6.0%(1.3x US)
Manufacturing
4.9%(0.5x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202440.9%(13,609)57.3%(19,057)R+16.4R+6.8
202044.2%(14,263)53.8%(17,364)R+9.6R+1.0
201639.3%(10,841)47.9%(13,215)R+8.6R+11.1
201248.7%(13,511)46.3%(12,825)D+2.5R+5.2
200853.2%(15,366)45.5%(13,136)D+7.7D+20.0
200443.3%(11,270)55.6%(14,474)R+12.3R+7.7
200045.9%(9,819)50.5%(10,803)R+4.6R+12.1
199649.4%(9,169)42.0%(7,779)D+7.5D+0.4
199244.7%(7,495)37.6%(6,305)D+7.1D+12.0
198847.0%(7,136)51.8%(7,874)R+4.9D+17.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Valencia County, NM19122024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-60191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202445.3%(14,810)54.7%(17,857)R+9.3D+5.3
202041.5%(13,344)56.2%(18,056)R+14.7R+25.8
201847.1%(11,514)36.0%(8,790)D+11.1D+9.3
201450.9%(9,537)49.1%(9,194)D+1.8D+2.8
201247.5%(13,120)48.5%(13,381)R+0.9R+17.1
200858.1%(16,698)41.9%(12,049)D+16.2R+24.2
200670.1%(13,952)29.8%(5,924)D+40.4D+73.3
200233.5%(5,532)66.5%(10,974)R+33.0R+54.9
200061.0%(12,884)39.0%(8,241)D+22.0D+55.9
199631.5%(5,791)65.4%(12,037)R+34.0R+45.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)0.0%(0)EvenD+3.9
201848.1%(11,717)51.9%(12,659)R+3.9D+23.3
201436.4%(6,779)63.6%(11,844)R+27.2R+7.1
201039.8%(8,866)60.0%(13,351)R+20.1R+53.6
200666.7%(13,222)33.3%(6,597)D+33.4D+18.2
200255.5%(9,214)40.3%(6,680)D+15.3D+23.3
199846.0%(8,263)54.0%(9,711)R+8.1R+2.2
199440.7%(6,330)46.6%(7,242)R+5.9R+29.7
199061.9%(8,394)38.1%(5,165)D+23.8D+23.7
198650.1%(6,172)49.9%(6,159)D+0.1R+23.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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