San Juan County, NM

NM · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+31.7
2024 Margin
R+3.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
121K
Population

San Juan County, NM (New Mexico) voted R+31.7 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 34,264 votes (64.74%) to 17,464 (33%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.5% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. San Juan County is classified as a deep Republican county. San Juan County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 120,942.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+31.7
2020→2024 SwingR+3.5%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population120,942
Median Age
38.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
18.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$55,872(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
36.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
19.8%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
71.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
23.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
6.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
33.1%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
15.7%
Catholic
10.7%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
10.6%(Primary Hub)
Mainline Protestant
2.1%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
10.3%
German
7.9%
English
6.8%
Irish
5.5%
American Heritage
1.9%
French
1.5%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.9%
18-29
8.5%
30-44
19.1%
45-64
30.5%
65+
16.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Educational Services
12.4%(1.4x US)
Retail Trade
12.2%(1.1x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
8.7%(5.1x US)
Professional & Technical
6.1%(0.5x US)
Construction
5.8%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.3%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202433.0%(17,464)64.7%(34,264)R+31.7R+3.5
202034.6%(18,083)62.9%(32,874)R+28.3D+4.4
201627.9%(12,865)60.6%(27,946)R+32.7R+4.6
201234.3%(15,855)62.4%(28,849)R+28.1R+6.9
200838.8%(18,028)59.9%(27,869)R+21.2D+11.5
200433.0%(14,843)65.6%(29,525)R+32.6R+5.3
200034.6%(11,980)61.9%(21,434)R+27.3R+10.7
199637.1%(12,070)53.7%(17,478)R+16.6R+9.6
199237.3%(11,302)44.3%(13,415)R+7.0D+11.4
198840.0%(11,094)58.4%(16,202)R+18.4D+16.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

San Juan County, NM19122024

D+R++40+200-20-40191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.0%(19,078)63.0%(32,417)R+25.9D+4.7
202033.2%(17,250)63.8%(33,145)R+30.6R+15.8
201833.4%(12,485)48.2%(18,002)R+14.8D+6.0
201439.6%(11,904)60.4%(18,137)R+20.7D+11.6
201231.6%(14,450)64.0%(29,270)R+32.4R+28.5
200848.1%(22,238)51.9%(24,021)R+3.9R+6.5
200651.3%(16,189)48.7%(15,351)D+2.7D+55.7
200223.5%(6,586)76.5%(21,450)R+53.0R+47.5
200047.2%(16,119)52.7%(17,995)R+5.5D+47.5
199622.0%(7,127)75.0%(24,266)R+53.0R+36.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)0.0%(0)EvenD+28.4
201835.8%(13,347)64.2%(23,961)R+28.4D+21.5
201425.0%(7,497)75.0%(22,461)R+50.0R+10.5
201030.2%(10,777)69.6%(24,857)R+39.4R+59.6
200660.1%(18,846)39.9%(12,521)D+20.2D+25.4
200245.4%(12,765)50.6%(14,237)R+5.2D+35.8
199829.5%(8,454)70.5%(20,233)R+41.1R+11.5
199432.0%(8,491)61.5%(16,343)R+29.6R+28.9
199049.5%(10,471)50.1%(10,610)R+0.7D+21.8
198638.8%(8,345)61.2%(13,184)R+22.5R+13.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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