McKinley County, NM

NM · Presidential Elections 19122024

D+24.5
2024 Margin
R+14.1%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1984
Voting Streak
70K
Population

McKinley County, NM (New Mexico) voted D+24.5 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 15,711 votes (60.74%) to 9,364 (36.2%) for Trump.

This represents a R+14.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. McKinley County is classified as a solid Democratic county. McKinley County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1984. The county has a population of approximately 70,431.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+24.5
2020→2024 SwingR+14.1%
Voting StreakD since 1984
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population70,431
Median Age
34.6(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
13.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$47,668(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
8.0%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
12.2%(US: 19.1%)
Asian
1.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
69.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
33.2%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
4.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
60.7%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
10.2%(Below Average)
Catholic
8.2%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
5.9%(Major Center)
Black Protestant
0.4%
Mainline Protestant
0.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
9.1%
German
2.1%
Irish
1.7%
English
1.4%

Age Distribution

Median:34.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
27.1%
18-29
9.0%
30-44
21.2%
45-64
28.9%
65+
13.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
13.7%(1.3x US)
Educational ServicesRegional Strength
12.2%(1.4x US)
Construction
6.4%
Professional & Technical
4.6%(0.4x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.5%
Manufacturing
3.7%(0.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202460.7%(15,711)36.2%(9,364)D+24.5R+14.1
202068.1%(18,029)29.4%(7,801)D+38.6R+0.4
201662.5%(13,576)23.5%(5,104)D+39.0R+7.9
201272.2%(15,841)25.3%(5,546)D+46.9D+3.0
200871.4%(16,572)27.5%(6,382)D+43.9D+16.3
200463.3%(13,051)35.6%(7,351)D+27.6R+5.2
200064.8%(10,281)31.9%(5,070)D+32.8R+3.6
199665.2%(10,124)28.8%(4,470)D+36.4D+6.3
199260.6%(9,405)30.4%(4,720)D+30.2D+4.9
198862.0%(9,595)36.8%(5,694)D+25.2D+15.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

McKinley County, NM19122024

D+R++40+200-20-40191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202467.6%(17,064)32.4%(8,195)D+35.1D+1.6
202065.2%(17,129)31.7%(8,329)D+33.5R+18.2
201867.5%(12,409)15.9%(2,915)D+51.7R+1.3
201476.5%(11,334)23.5%(3,481)D+53.0D+28.1
201260.5%(13,004)35.6%(7,647)D+24.9R+34.0
200879.5%(18,357)20.5%(4,742)D+58.9R+13.6
200686.2%(14,962)13.7%(2,376)D+72.5D+87.7
200242.4%(5,706)57.6%(7,746)R+15.2R+63.7
200074.3%(11,578)25.7%(4,005)D+48.6D+56.6
199644.8%(6,983)52.8%(8,241)R+8.1R+46.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)0.0%(0)EvenR+42.9
201871.5%(13,117)28.5%(5,238)D+42.9D+43.4
201449.8%(7,393)50.2%(7,465)R+0.5R+30.8
201065.0%(10,965)34.7%(5,850)D+30.3R+41.8
200686.1%(14,973)13.9%(2,427)D+72.1D+19.1
200274.9%(10,137)22.0%(2,970)D+53.0D+36.4
199858.3%(8,085)41.7%(5,788)D+16.6R+6.0
199458.3%(7,748)35.8%(4,750)D+22.6R+11.9
199067.2%(8,081)32.8%(3,937)D+34.5D+13.6
198660.4%(6,897)39.6%(4,514)D+20.9R+5.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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