McKinley County, New Mexico
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 14.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 8.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 12.2% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 0.5% |
▶Asian(5) | 1.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(8) | 77.8% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.1% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 10.2% | 38.5% |
| Catholic | 8.2% | 31.0% |
| Other | 7.4% | 27.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 5.9% | 22.4% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 1.5% |
| Mainline Protestant | 0.3% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 73.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+24.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+38.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+39.0 |
| 2012 | Obama+47.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+43.9 |
| 2004 | Kerry+27.6 |
| 2000 | Gore+32.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+36.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+30.2 |
McKinley, New Mexico is a county that has a population of 70,431. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+24.5. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60.7% | 36.2% | D+24.5 | R+14.1 |
| 2020 | 68.1% | 29.5% | D+38.6 | R+0.4 |
| 2016 | 62.6% | 23.5% | D+39.0 | R+7.9 |
| 2012 | 72.2% | 25.3% | D+47.0 | D+3.0 |
| 2008 | 71.4% | 27.5% | D+43.9 | D+16.3 |
| 2004 | 63.3% | 35.6% | D+27.6 | R+5.2 |
| 2000 | 64.7% | 31.9% | D+32.8 | R+3.6 |
| 1996 | 65.2% | 28.8% | D+36.4 | D+6.3 |
| 1992 | 60.6% | 30.4% | D+30.2 | D+5.0 |
| 1988 | 62.0% | 36.8% | D+25.2 | D+15.9 |
| 1984 | 54.1% | 44.8% | D+9.3 | D+28.3 |
| 1980 | 37.6% | 56.7% | R+19.0 | R+38.3 |
| 1976 | 59.1% | 39.8% | D+19.3 | D+21.5 |
| 1972 | 47.5% | 49.7% | R+2.2 | R+3.4 |
| 1968 | 46.9% | 45.7% | D+1.2 | R+38.3 |
| 1964 | 69.1% | 29.6% | D+39.5 | D+26.3 |
| 1960 | 56.6% | 43.4% | D+13.2 | D+27.1 |
| 1956 | 43.0% | 57.0% | R+13.9 | R+13.7 |
| 1952 | 49.9% | 50.1% | R+0.2 | R+18.0 |
| 1948 | 58.9% | 41.1% | D+17.8 | — |
What defines McKinley?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 24.5% margin
- Swung 14.1 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Located In
McKinley sits inside these higher-level geographies.