Lincoln County, NM

NM · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+38.5
2024 Margin
R+2.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1940
Voting Streak
20K
Population

Lincoln County, NM (New Mexico) voted R+38.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 6,942 votes (68.29%) to 3,033 (29.84%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Lincoln County is classified as a deep Republican county. Lincoln County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1940. The county has a population of approximately 20,224.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+38.5
2020→2024 SwingR+2.1%
Voting StreakR since 1940
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population20,224
Median Age
52.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
32.2%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$53,303(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
60.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
33.0%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
76.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
19.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
10.3%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
16.1%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
22.1%
Evangelical
16.1%
Mainline Protestant
4.6%
LDS/Mormon
1.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

Mexican
28.1%Significant Hub(2.5x)
American Heritage
14.2%Significant Hub(2.6x)
English
13.4%(1.5x)
German
11.9%
Irish
9.8%
French
1.8%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:52.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
16.7%
18-29
4.9%
30-44
13.5%
45-64
33.7%
65+
31.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Educational Services
14.3%(1.7x US)
Professional & Technical
10.9%
Retail Trade
10.6%
Construction
9.7%(1.4x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.4%(1.2x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
4.8%(2.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202429.8%(3,033)68.3%(6,942)R+38.5R+2.1
202031.0%(3,194)67.4%(6,942)R+36.4D+3.7
201626.2%(2,331)66.2%(5,896)R+40.0R+7.4
201231.8%(2,942)64.5%(5,961)R+32.7R+7.2
200836.5%(3,535)61.9%(6,001)R+25.4D+10.6
200431.3%(2,822)67.3%(6,070)R+36.0R+0.1
200029.9%(2,027)65.8%(4,458)R+35.9R+17.4
199634.5%(2,209)53.0%(3,396)R+18.5R+2.5
199229.5%(1,730)45.6%(2,669)R+16.0D+18.4
198832.0%(1,690)66.4%(3,511)R+34.4D+20.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lincoln County, NM19122024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-60191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.8%(3,270)67.2%(6,706)R+34.4D+6.4
202028.4%(2,915)69.3%(7,102)R+40.9R+21.7
201833.3%(2,617)52.5%(4,122)R+19.2D+11.7
201434.6%(2,131)65.4%(4,035)R+30.9D+0.2
201232.2%(2,950)63.2%(5,797)R+31.0R+10.6
200839.8%(3,825)60.2%(5,787)R+20.4R+35.2
200657.4%(3,826)42.6%(2,841)D+14.8D+73.3
200220.7%(1,270)79.3%(4,854)R+58.5R+57.9
200049.7%(3,299)50.3%(3,338)R+0.6D+57.2
199619.4%(1,240)77.2%(4,926)R+57.8R+41.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)0.0%(0)EvenD+33.0
201833.5%(2,625)66.5%(5,216)R+33.0D+25.5
201420.7%(1,283)79.3%(4,904)R+58.5R+11.4
201026.4%(1,990)73.5%(5,544)R+47.1R+66.9
200659.9%(4,017)40.1%(2,688)D+19.8D+31.7
200242.0%(2,575)53.8%(3,303)R+11.9D+15.5
199836.3%(2,059)63.7%(3,613)R+27.4R+12.8
199439.5%(2,080)54.1%(2,850)R+14.6D+1.7
199041.7%(1,908)58.0%(2,656)R+16.3D+26.8
198628.4%(1,211)71.6%(3,049)R+43.1R+12.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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