Guadalupe County, NM
NM · Presidential Elections 1912–2024
Guadalupe County, NM (New Mexico) voted D+0.7 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 959 votes (49.48%) to 945 (48.76%) for Trump.
This represents a R+13.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Guadalupe County is classified as a competitive Democratic county. Guadalupe County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The county has a population of approximately 4,381.
Quick Stats
Demographics
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Ancestry Groups
Source: Census ACSTop reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).
Age Distribution
Employment by Industry
Census ACSPresidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 49.5%(959) | 48.8%(945) | D+0.7 | R+13.8 |
| 2020 | 56.4%(1,234) | 41.9%(917) | D+14.5 | R+6.0 |
| 2016 | 53.1%(970) | 32.6%(595) | D+20.5 | R+23.1 |
| 2012 | 69.7%(1,488) | 26.1%(557) | D+43.6 | D+0.9 |
| 2008 | 70.9%(1,557) | 28.2%(620) | D+42.7 | D+23.9 |
| 2004 | 59.1%(1,340) | 40.3%(914) | D+18.8 | R+13.2 |
| 2000 | 65.2%(1,076) | 33.2%(548) | D+32.0 | R+12.5 |
| 1996 | 69.6%(1,208) | 25.1%(436) | D+44.5 | D+19.1 |
| 1992 | 58.3%(1,225) | 32.9%(691) | D+25.4 | D+7.4 |
| 1988 | 58.7%(1,243) | 40.6%(861) | D+18.0 | D+20.3 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Presidential Margin Trend
Guadalupe County, NM • 1912–2024
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 60.9%(1,143) | 39.1%(735) | D+21.7 | D+6.0 |
| 2020 | 57.0%(1,240) | 41.2%(898) | D+15.7 | R+32.1 |
| 2018 | 65.2%(1,094) | 17.4%(292) | D+47.8 | R+2.6 |
| 2014 | 75.2%(1,378) | 24.8%(455) | D+50.4 | D+15.5 |
| 2012 | 65.7%(1,396) | 30.9%(656) | D+34.8 | R+10.8 |
| 2008 | 72.8%(1,596) | 27.2%(596) | D+45.6 | R+29.4 |
| 2006 | 87.5%(1,594) | 12.5%(228) | D+75.0 | D+94.5 |
| 2002 | 40.3%(762) | 59.7%(1,131) | R+19.5 | R+73.6 |
| 2000 | 77.0%(1,259) | 22.9%(375) | D+54.1 | D+52.7 |
| 1996 | 50.1%(871) | 48.7%(847) | D+1.4 | R+53.6 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0.0%(0) | 0.0%(0) | Even | R+20.5 |
| 2018 | 60.3%(1,021) | 39.7%(673) | D+20.5 | D+38.5 |
| 2014 | 41.0%(769) | 59.0%(1,105) | R+17.9 | R+3.8 |
| 2010 | 42.9%(828) | 57.1%(1,100) | R+14.1 | R+82.7 |
| 2006 | 84.3%(1,546) | 15.7%(288) | D+68.6 | D+31.3 |
| 2002 | 67.8%(1,283) | 30.6%(578) | D+37.3 | D+4.9 |
| 1998 | 66.2%(1,481) | 33.8%(756) | D+32.4 | R+7.2 |
| 1994 | 55.9%(1,253) | 16.3%(366) | D+39.6 | R+3.7 |
| 1990 | 71.6%(1,576) | 28.4%(624) | D+43.3 | D+30.1 |
| 1986 | 56.6%(1,030) | 43.4%(791) | D+13.1 | R+39.3 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab