Chaves County, New Mexico
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 36.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 58.4% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 1.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 21.1% | 44.3% |
| Catholic | 19.8% | 41.4% |
| Other | 4.5% | 9.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.3% | 4.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.4% | 3.0% |
| Black Protestant | 0.9% | 2.0% |
| Non-religious | 52.3% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+44.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+41.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+36.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+31.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+24.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+37.1 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.8 |
| 1996 | Dole+16.1 |
| 1992 | Bush+13.3 |
Chaves, New Mexico is a county that has a population of 64,217. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+44.8. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.8% | 71.6% | R+44.8 | R+3.5 |
| 2020 | 28.4% | 69.8% | R+41.3 | R+5.1 |
| 2016 | 27.3% | 63.5% | R+36.2 | R+4.3 |
| 2012 | 32.5% | 64.5% | R+31.9 | R+7.3 |
| 2008 | 37.1% | 61.7% | R+24.7 | D+12.4 |
| 2004 | 31.0% | 68.1% | R+37.1 | R+9.3 |
| 2000 | 34.9% | 62.7% | R+27.8 | R+11.7 |
| 1996 | 37.9% | 53.9% | R+16.1 | R+2.8 |
| 1992 | 33.7% | 46.9% | R+13.3 | D+19.4 |
| 1988 | 33.1% | 65.8% | R+32.7 | D+15.0 |
| 1984 | 25.7% | 73.4% | R+47.7 | R+9.3 |
| 1980 | 28.8% | 67.2% | R+38.5 | R+19.0 |
| 1976 | 39.8% | 59.3% | R+19.5 | D+24.9 |
| 1972 | 26.5% | 70.9% | R+44.4 | R+6.7 |
| 1968 | 25.9% | 63.6% | R+37.7 | R+39.1 |
| 1964 | 50.5% | 49.2% | D+1.4 | D+19.5 |
| 1960 | 40.9% | 59.1% | R+18.1 | D+8.6 |
| 1956 | 36.6% | 63.4% | R+26.7 | D+2.1 |
| 1952 | 35.6% | 64.4% | R+28.9 | R+47.5 |
| 1948 | 59.3% | 40.7% | D+18.6 | — |
What defines Chaves?
Chaves has been trending Republican — 13pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 44.8% margin
- Shifted 12.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Chaves sits inside these higher-level geographies.