Hayes County, Nebraska
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 93.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 4.9% |
Black / African American | <0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 20.3% | 52.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 18.6% | 47.8% |
| Non-religious | 61.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+91.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+85.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+86.0 |
| 2012 | Romney+78.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+68.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+76.6 |
| 2000 | Bush+73.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+61.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+42.4 |
Hayes, Nebraska is a county that has a population of 843. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+91.7. Akashic Edge tracks 35 presidential elections here, dating back to 1888.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3.8% | 95.5% | R+91.7 | R+5.9 |
| 2020 | 6.3% | 92.2% | R+85.8 | D+0.2 |
| 2016 | 5.8% | 91.8% | R+86.0 | R+7.1 |
| 2012 | 9.5% | 88.3% | R+78.8 | R+10.9 |
| 2008 | 15.4% | 83.4% | R+68.0 | D+8.6 |
| 2004 | 11.0% | 87.6% | R+76.6 | R+3.0 |
| 2000 | 11.6% | 85.1% | R+73.6 | R+11.8 |
| 1996 | 15.3% | 77.0% | R+61.8 | R+19.4 |
| 1992 | 13.0% | 55.4% | R+42.4 | D+9.3 |
| 1988 | 23.5% | 75.1% | R+51.6 | D+19.3 |
| 1984 | 14.6% | 85.4% | R+70.9 | D+2.4 |
| 1980 | 11.2% | 84.5% | R+73.3 | R+52.6 |
| 1976 | 38.4% | 59.1% | R+20.7 | D+38.9 |
| 1972 | 20.2% | 79.8% | R+59.6 | R+6.6 |
| 1968 | 18.2% | 71.3% | R+53.0 | R+36.7 |
| 1964 | 41.8% | 58.2% | R+16.3 | D+26.3 |
| 1960 | 28.7% | 71.3% | R+42.6 | R+2.6 |
| 1956 | 30.0% | 70.0% | R+40.0 | D+21.8 |
| 1952 | 19.1% | 80.9% | R+61.8 | R+50.1 |
| 1948 | 44.1% | 55.9% | R+11.7 | — |
What defines Hayes?
It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 91.7% margin
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 23.7 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate