Valley County, MT

MT · Presidential Elections 18962024

R+51.1
2024 Margin
R+1.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
8K
Population

Valley County, MT (Montana) voted R+51.1 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 3,019 votes (74.01%) to 935 (22.92%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Valley County is classified as a deep Republican county. Valley County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 7,519.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+51.1
2020→2024 SwingR+1.7%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record33

Demographics

Population7,519
Median Age
44.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
25.7%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$71,695(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
84.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.6%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
78.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
10.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
11.2%(Major Center)
Evangelical
6.6%(Below Average)
Catholic
6.4%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
2.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
21.6%Above Average(1.8x)
American Heritage
12.3%Above Average(2.3x)
Irish
8.5%
English
6.4%
Mexican
1.9%
Italian
1.6%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:44.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.3%
18-29
6.3%
30-44
16.3%
45-64
30.6%
65+
24.5%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
14.9%(8.8x US)
Retail Trade
10.4%
Educational Services
8.9%
Construction
6.1%(0.9x US)
Professional & Technical
5.2%(0.4x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
3.0%(0.7x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202422.9%(935)74.0%(3,019)R+51.1R+1.7
202024.2%(1,030)73.6%(3,135)R+49.4R+2.9
201622.8%(886)69.3%(2,698)R+46.5R+21.9
201235.9%(1,385)60.6%(2,337)R+24.7R+12.5
200842.1%(1,645)54.2%(2,121)R+12.2D+13.8
200435.6%(1,431)61.6%(2,476)R+26.0D+5.0
200032.1%(1,273)63.1%(2,500)R+31.0R+27.1
199639.8%(1,674)43.7%(1,838)R+3.9R+8.7
199237.5%(1,715)32.8%(1,497)D+4.8D+11.2
198846.0%(2,163)52.4%(2,467)R+6.5D+18.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Valley County, MT18962024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018961904191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202431.9%(1,307)65.3%(2,672)R+33.4D+5.3
202030.7%(1,306)69.3%(2,953)R+38.7R+23.4
201839.8%(1,545)55.0%(2,137)R+15.3D+18.9
201431.7%(1,055)65.8%(2,193)R+34.1R+32.2
201245.0%(1,749)46.9%(1,824)R+1.9R+56.8
200877.4%(2,964)22.6%(864)D+54.9D+66.6
200642.9%(1,560)54.7%(1,987)R+11.7R+59.9
200272.4%(2,520)24.3%(845)D+48.1D+59.0
200043.6%(1,746)54.4%(2,182)R+10.9R+10.1
199647.0%(2,021)47.8%(2,055)R+0.8D+33.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202423.6%(961)73.8%(3,009)R+50.2R+9.8
202027.8%(1,182)68.2%(2,899)R+40.4R+18.2
201637.1%(1,465)59.3%(2,343)R+22.2R+15.2
201244.3%(1,708)51.3%(1,979)R+7.0R+41.6
200866.4%(2,590)31.9%(1,243)D+34.5D+19.6
200455.6%(2,215)40.7%(1,621)D+14.9D+24.6
200044.0%(1,750)53.8%(2,137)R+9.7D+46.8
199621.7%(923)78.3%(3,326)R+56.6R+51.5
199247.5%(2,057)52.5%(2,278)R+5.1R+5.9
198848.7%(2,263)47.9%(2,225)D+0.8R+47.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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