Toole County, MT

MT · Presidential Elections 19162024

R+56.5
2024 Margin
R+3.2%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
5K
Population

Toole County, MT (Montana) voted R+56.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 1,571 votes (76.78%) to 415 (20.28%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Toole County is classified as a deep Republican county. Toole County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 5,061.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+56.5
2020→2024 SwingR+3.2%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record28

Demographics

Population5,061
Median Age
37.7(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
22.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$57,731(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
83.0%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
4.5%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
63.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
12.6%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
6.1%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
22.7%(Unique Concentration)
Evangelical
14.2%
Catholic
5.9%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
4.2%(Major Center)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
25.1%Above Average(2.0x)
Irish
13.6%(1.5x)
English
10.6%
American Heritage
5.4%
Mexican
4.1%
Italian
3.2%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:37.7 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.1%
18-29
8.0%
30-44
22.4%
45-64
30.5%
65+
18.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
13.2%(7.8x US)
Educational Services
10.9%(1.3x US)
Retail Trade
10.7%
Professional & Technical
6.5%(0.5x US)
Construction
5.5%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.0%(0.9x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.3%(415)76.8%(1,571)R+56.5R+3.2
202022.0%(467)75.3%(1,596)R+53.3D+0.5
201619.7%(402)73.5%(1,497)R+53.8R+12.9
201227.7%(582)68.5%(1,440)R+40.8R+13.5
200834.8%(737)62.1%(1,317)R+27.3D+11.3
200429.9%(690)68.5%(1,583)R+38.6D+3.8
200026.5%(630)68.9%(1,639)R+42.4R+29.2
199635.2%(874)48.5%(1,203)R+13.3R+10.0
199231.4%(854)34.7%(943)R+3.3D+13.2
198840.6%(1,070)57.1%(1,505)R+16.5D+25.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Toole County, MT19162024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6019161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202427.3%(558)70.3%(1,436)R+43.0D+1.0
202028.0%(595)72.0%(1,528)R+43.9R+13.4
201832.9%(626)63.5%(1,208)R+30.6D+15.1
201426.0%(433)71.7%(1,193)R+45.7R+22.7
201234.0%(721)57.0%(1,209)R+23.0R+60.4
200868.7%(1,443)31.3%(658)D+37.4D+58.9
200637.5%(759)59.1%(1,195)R+21.6R+53.9
200262.9%(1,225)30.5%(594)D+32.4D+45.5
200042.1%(992)55.2%(1,302)R+13.1R+3.6
199642.4%(1,053)52.0%(1,291)R+9.6D+32.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.4%(355)80.1%(1,632)R+62.7R+11.8
202022.1%(468)73.0%(1,546)R+50.9R+30.8
201638.6%(799)58.7%(1,214)R+20.1D+2.1
201236.8%(776)58.9%(1,244)R+22.2R+37.4
200856.4%(1,203)41.2%(879)D+15.2D+18.6
200446.4%(1,055)49.9%(1,133)R+3.4D+5.4
200044.7%(1,071)53.5%(1,283)R+8.8D+56.5
199617.3%(429)82.7%(2,044)R+65.3R+51.3
199243.0%(1,160)57.0%(1,539)R+14.0D+1.3
198841.3%(1,096)56.6%(1,504)R+15.4R+42.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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