Question 1

How did Pondera, Montana vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Accepted Answer

Pondera, Montana voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+41.7. Kamala D Harris received 782 votes and Donald Trump received 1,972 out of 2,852 total votes cast, a 4.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

Question 2

What is Pondera, Montana's political history?

Accepted Answer

Pondera, Montana has 27 presidential elections on record, spanning 1920 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 47.0 points in 1932.

Question 3

What are the demographics of Pondera, Montana?

Accepted Answer

Pondera, Montana has a population of 6,035 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 78.9% non-Hispanic white, 2.6% Hispanic. About 20% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $52,338.

Question 4

Which places are most similar to Pondera, Montana?

Accepted Answer

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar countys to Pondera, Montana are Tripp, Chouteau, Sherman. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	78.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(6)	2.6%
Black / African American	<0.1%
▶Asian(3)	1.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1)	0.1%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	15.1%
Multiracial / Other	2.5%

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Catholic	27.8%	46.6%
Evangelical Protestant	24.2%	40.5%
Mainline Protestant	4.1%	6.9%
Other	3.6%	6.0%
LDS (Mormon)	3.6%	6.0%
Non-religious	40.2%	—

Year	Result
2024	Trump+41.7
2020	Trump+37.7
2016	Trump+39.0
2012	Romney+25.7
2008	McCain+12.7
2004	Bush+31.4
2000	Bush+39.9
1996	Dole+10.6
1992	Bush+6.5

Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	27.4%	69.1%	R+41.7	R+4.1
2020	30.2%	67.8%	R+37.7	D+1.3
2016	27.1%	66.1%	R+39.0	R+13.3
2012	35.9%	61.5%	R+25.7	R+13.0
2008	42.4%	55.0%	R+12.7	D+18.7
2004	33.4%	64.8%	R+31.4	D+8.6
2000	27.3%	67.3%	R+39.9	R+29.3
1996	37.9%	48.5%	R+10.6	R+4.1
1992	33.0%	39.6%	R+6.5	D+11.2
1988	40.0%	57.6%	R+17.7	D+18.5
1984	31.3%	67.5%	R+36.2	D+3.8
1980	26.1%	66.1%	R+40.0	R+32.0
1976	44.9%	52.9%	R+8.0	D+12.5
1972	36.9%	57.4%	R+20.5	R+7.3
1968	39.8%	53.0%	R+13.2	R+35.8
1964	61.1%	38.6%	D+22.6	D+16.1
1960	53.2%	46.8%	D+6.5	D+13.4
1956	46.6%	53.4%	R+6.9	D+8.9
1952	41.6%	57.5%	R+15.8	R+41.4
1948	61.0%	35.4%	D+25.6	—

Pondera County, Montana

County in State Context

Ask the Historian