Musselshell County, MT

MT · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+71.5
2024 Margin
R+1.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
5K
Population

Musselshell County, MT (Montana) voted R+71.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 2,550 votes (84.66%) to 396 (13.15%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Musselshell County is classified as a deep Republican county. Musselshell County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 5,152.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+71.5
2020→2024 SwingR+1.7%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population5,152
Median Age
51.3(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
22.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$58,920(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
87.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
4.3%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
85.1%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
17.0%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
6.9%(Below Average)
Catholic
6.3%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
4.4%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
4.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
19.4%(1.6x)
English
13.1%(1.5x)
Irish
11.4%(1.2x)
American Heritage
8.4%(1.6x)
Mexican
3.0%
Scotch-Irish
2.9%Significant Hub(3.8x)
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:51.3 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
19.4%
18-29
6.3%
30-44
12.4%
45-64
33.0%
65+
29.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
13.1%(1.2x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
12.6%(7.4x US)
Professional & Technical
12.5%
Construction
8.4%(1.2x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.7%
Educational Services
3.7%(0.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202413.2%(396)84.7%(2,550)R+71.5R+1.7
202014.3%(413)84.1%(2,423)R+69.8R+2.8
201613.6%(332)80.6%(1,967)R+67.0R+11.3
201220.4%(492)76.2%(1,833)R+55.7R+14.7
200827.6%(636)68.6%(1,581)R+41.0D+9.1
200423.9%(538)74.0%(1,663)R+50.1R+1.6
200023.2%(512)71.7%(1,582)R+48.5R+25.9
199631.4%(652)54.0%(1,121)R+22.6R+12.4
199229.1%(648)39.3%(876)R+10.2D+7.1
198840.7%(898)58.1%(1,280)R+17.3D+14.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Musselshell County, MT19122024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-80191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.8%(536)80.1%(2,408)R+62.3D+0.3
202018.7%(538)81.3%(2,341)R+62.6R+14.5
201823.6%(573)71.7%(1,743)R+48.1D+6.8
201421.5%(442)76.3%(1,572)R+54.9R+22.3
201228.6%(684)61.1%(1,463)R+32.6R+54.1
200860.8%(1,361)39.2%(878)D+21.6D+54.7
200631.2%(670)64.3%(1,382)R+33.1R+49.4
200255.4%(1,018)39.1%(719)D+16.3D+47.2
200033.2%(732)64.1%(1,414)R+30.9R+16.3
199640.1%(837)54.7%(1,142)R+14.6D+37.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202412.3%(369)85.2%(2,555)R+72.9R+7.8
202015.7%(450)80.8%(2,318)R+65.1R+30.3
201630.1%(741)64.9%(1,599)R+34.8D+3.0
201228.0%(671)65.9%(1,577)R+37.8R+37.5
200848.3%(1,109)48.7%(1,117)R+0.3D+22.0
200436.9%(819)59.3%(1,316)R+22.4D+5.2
200034.9%(766)62.5%(1,371)R+27.6D+40.8
199615.8%(329)84.2%(1,755)R+68.4R+33.9
199232.7%(721)67.3%(1,483)R+34.6R+21.6
198842.8%(935)55.7%(1,218)R+13.0R+55.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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