Missoula County, MT

MT · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

D+21.4
2024 Margin
R+2.4%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2004
Voting Streak
121K
Population

Missoula County, MT (Montana) voted D+21.4 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 42,903 votes (58.95%) to 27,306 (37.52%) for Trump.

This represents a R+2.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Missoula County is classified as a solid Democratic county. Missoula County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2004. The county has a population of approximately 120,672.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+21.4
2020→2024 SwingR+2.4%
Voting StreakD since 2004
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population120,672
Median Age
37.1(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
47.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$75,598(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
85.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.0%(US: 19.1%)
Asian
1.8%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
58.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
10.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
9.3%(Below Average)
Evangelical
8.6%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
4.3%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
3.1%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
20.6%Above Average(1.7x)
Irish
15.3%Above Average(1.6x)
English
12.9%(1.5x)
Italian
4.5%
American Heritage
3.7%
French
3.4%Above Average(1.8x)
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:37.1 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
18.2%↓
18-29
12.9%
30-44
23.3%↑
45-64
28.5%↑
65+
17.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
13.4%(1.1x US)
Educational Services
12.3%(1.4x US)
Retail Trade
11.8%(1.1x US)
Construction
6.7%
Healthcare & Social Services
5.3%(1.2x US)
Manufacturing
4.0%(0.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202459.0%(42,903)37.5%(27,306)D+21.4R+2.4
202060.6%(43,357)36.9%(26,347)D+23.8D+8.5
201652.0%(31,543)36.6%(22,250)D+15.3R+2.5
201257.4%(32,824)39.6%(22,652)D+17.8R+9.0
200861.8%(36,531)35.1%(20,743)D+26.7D+21.0
200451.4%(26,983)45.7%(23,989)D+5.7D+14.8
200037.0%(17,241)46.1%(21,474)R+9.1R+22.2
199649.3%(21,874)36.1%(16,034)D+13.2R+4.0
199247.0%(20,347)29.8%(12,898)D+17.2D+8.2
198853.8%(19,178)44.8%(15,965)D+9.0D+17.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Missoula County, MT • 1892–2024

D+R++80+60+40+200-20-40-60-8018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202466.0%(48,429)32.4%(23,743)D+33.6D+4.8
202064.4%(46,268)35.6%(25,529)D+28.9R+8.5
201867.6%(41,688)30.2%(18,631)D+37.4D+22.3
201456.5%(23,852)41.3%(17,459)D+15.1R+16.7
201263.5%(36,488)31.6%(18,184)D+31.8R+26.6
200879.2%(45,621)20.8%(11,961)D+58.5D+27.8
200664.3%(30,069)33.7%(15,742)D+30.6R+9.3
200266.3%(22,111)26.4%(8,806)D+39.9D+19.2
200059.2%(27,494)38.5%(17,876)D+20.7R+1.8
199657.8%(25,983)35.3%(15,860)D+22.5D+17.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202459.6%(43,378)38.0%(27,670)D+21.6R+3.5
202060.7%(43,426)35.5%(25,448)D+25.1R+8.8
201665.3%(39,717)31.3%(19,078)D+33.9D+5.7
201262.3%(35,557)34.1%(19,454)D+28.2R+26.6
200876.4%(44,558)21.6%(12,577)D+54.8D+29.2
200460.9%(31,532)35.3%(18,269)D+25.6D+6.6
200058.4%(27,034)39.3%(18,215)D+19.0D+67.5
199625.8%(11,426)74.2%(32,877)R+48.4R+62.2
199256.9%(24,453)43.1%(18,531)D+13.8D+15.4
198847.9%(17,162)49.5%(17,731)R+1.6R+52.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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