Lincoln County, MT

MT · Presidential Elections 19122024

R+53.4
2024 Margin
R+3.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1992
Voting Streak
21K
Population

Lincoln County, MT (Montana) voted R+53.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 8,909 votes (75.57%) to 2,615 (22.18%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Lincoln County is classified as a deep Republican county. Lincoln County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1992. The county has a population of approximately 21,175.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+53.4
2020→2024 SwingR+3.7%
Voting StreakR since 1992
Elections on Record29

Demographics

Population21,175
Median Age
52.8(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
18.9%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$47,143(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.1%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
77.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.4%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
12.4%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
17.7%
LDS/Mormon
5.1%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
3.0%
Catholic
1.9%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
0.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
19.9%Above Average(1.6x)
English
12.0%(1.4x)
Irish
11.5%(1.2x)
American Heritage
5.0%
Italian
4.0%
French
3.0%(1.6x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:52.8 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
18.1%
18-29
5.0%
30-44
13.3%
45-64
33.5%
65+
30.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
14.9%(1.4x US)
Educational Services
12.7%(1.5x US)
Construction
11.9%(1.8x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
8.5%(5.0x US)
Professional & Technical
7.3%(0.6x US)
Manufacturing
6.1%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202422.2%(2,615)75.6%(8,909)R+53.4R+3.7
202024.1%(2,835)73.8%(8,672)R+49.7D+0.6
201621.9%(2,041)72.1%(6,729)R+50.2R+10.8
201228.7%(2,552)68.1%(6,057)R+39.4R+10.4
200832.8%(3,025)61.8%(5,704)R+29.0D+13.2
200427.5%(2,320)69.7%(5,889)R+42.2D+8.1
200020.8%(1,629)71.1%(5,578)R+50.3R+39.6
199634.4%(2,705)45.2%(3,552)R+10.8R+10.4
199233.0%(2,765)33.4%(2,799)R+0.4R+1.8
198849.4%(3,601)48.0%(3,500)D+1.4D+17.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Lincoln County, MT19122024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-60191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202427.8%(3,287)70.2%(8,291)R+42.3D+2.6
202027.5%(3,228)72.5%(8,490)R+44.9R+10.3
201831.1%(2,902)65.7%(6,137)R+34.6D+10.3
201425.9%(1,904)70.9%(5,204)R+44.9R+22.7
201234.6%(3,091)56.9%(5,080)R+22.3R+46.3
200862.0%(5,627)38.0%(3,449)D+24.0D+41.0
200639.2%(2,860)56.2%(4,105)R+17.1R+23.0
200250.7%(3,428)44.8%(3,026)D+5.9D+36.2
200033.4%(2,629)63.6%(5,010)R+30.2R+9.5
199636.1%(2,599)56.8%(4,093)R+20.7D+10.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202422.4%(2,634)75.1%(8,820)R+52.6R+7.5
202025.6%(3,001)70.7%(8,279)R+45.1R+19.5
201635.0%(3,308)60.7%(5,728)R+25.6D+3.4
201233.0%(2,920)62.0%(5,487)R+29.0R+44.4
200856.1%(5,116)40.7%(3,711)D+15.4D+31.8
200439.7%(3,286)56.1%(4,647)R+16.4D+7.9
200036.3%(2,833)60.6%(4,735)R+24.4D+42.1
199616.8%(1,284)83.2%(6,379)R+66.5R+55.1
199244.3%(3,648)55.7%(4,588)R+11.4R+21.8
198853.8%(3,885)43.4%(3,134)D+10.4R+31.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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