Flathead County, MT

MT · Presidential Elections 18962024

R+33.8
2024 Margin
R+3.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
111K
Population

Flathead County, MT (Montana) voted R+33.8 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 41,390 votes (65.55%) to 20,062 (31.77%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Flathead County is classified as a deep Republican county. Flathead County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 110,695.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+33.8
2020→2024 SwingR+3.7%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record33

Demographics

Population110,695
Median Age
42.2(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
37.2%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$73,925(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
90.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.7%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
72.4%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.5%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
23.5%
Catholic
5.0%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
3.9%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
2.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
20.8%Above Average(1.7x)
English
16.8%Above Average(1.9x)
Irish
13.3%(1.4x)
American Heritage
4.6%
Italian
3.1%
French
2.6%(1.3x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:42.2 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.6%
18-29
6.6%
30-44
18.5%
45-64
32.1%
65+
21.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
12.9%(1.2x US)
ConstructionMajor Specialization
12.5%(1.8x US)
Educational Services
11.6%(1.4x US)
Professional & Technical
10.4%(0.9x US)
Manufacturing
6.2%(0.6x US)
Agriculture & ForestryMajor Specialization
4.1%(2.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202431.8%(20,062)65.5%(41,390)R+33.8R+3.7
202033.8%(20,274)63.9%(38,321)R+30.1D+5.6
201628.0%(13,293)63.7%(30,240)R+35.7R+2.8
201231.6%(13,892)64.5%(28,309)R+32.8R+11.3
200836.9%(16,138)58.5%(25,559)R+21.6D+15.8
200430.0%(11,587)67.3%(26,019)R+37.3D+4.6
200024.6%(8,329)66.5%(22,519)R+41.9R+23.0
199632.4%(10,452)51.3%(16,542)R+18.9R+12.7
199231.0%(9,746)37.2%(11,699)R+6.2D+10.7
198840.4%(10,202)57.3%(14,461)R+16.9D+16.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Flathead County, MT18962024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018961904191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.2%(23,647)60.7%(38,582)R+23.5D+2.6
202036.9%(22,180)63.1%(37,861)R+26.1R+11.2
201841.1%(19,652)56.0%(26,759)R+14.9D+20.8
201431.3%(10,013)66.9%(21,437)R+35.7R+17.4
201237.2%(16,223)55.4%(24,171)R+18.2R+45.3
200863.6%(26,963)36.4%(15,459)D+27.1D+42.6
200640.4%(13,570)55.9%(18,784)R+15.5R+23.1
200250.9%(13,011)43.3%(11,069)D+7.6D+25.8
200039.7%(13,495)57.9%(19,684)R+18.2R+2.2
199638.8%(11,959)54.7%(16,890)R+16.0D+22.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202431.8%(20,064)65.9%(41,539)R+34.1R+5.9
202034.1%(20,387)62.2%(37,213)R+28.1R+13.0
201640.5%(19,202)55.6%(26,384)R+15.1D+5.5
201237.7%(16,348)58.3%(25,286)R+20.6R+39.0
200857.9%(24,998)39.5%(17,060)D+18.4D+36.7
200439.2%(14,967)57.5%(21,970)R+18.3D+6.3
200036.6%(12,298)61.2%(20,593)R+24.7D+40.2
199617.6%(5,682)82.4%(26,670)R+64.9R+52.4
199243.8%(13,652)56.2%(17,538)R+12.5D+6.8
198839.3%(9,963)58.5%(14,841)R+19.2R+61.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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