Fergus County, MT

MT · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+51.3
2024 Margin
D+0.5%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
12K
Population

Fergus County, MT (Montana) voted R+51.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 4,965 votes (73.97%) to 1,522 (22.68%) for Harris.

This represents a D+0.5% swing toward Democrats compared to 2020. Fergus County is classified as a deep Republican county. Fergus County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 11,687.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+51.3
2020→2024 SwingD+0.5%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population11,687
Median Age
44.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
24.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$63,706(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.4%(US: 19.1%)
Asian
1.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
63.4%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
11.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.1%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
18.1%
Catholic
7.9%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
7.9%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
1.8%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
27.0%Above Average(2.2x)
American Heritage
13.1%Above Average(2.4x)
Irish
10.5%
English
9.4%
Italian
2.5%
Mexican
1.9%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:44.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
21.0%
18-29
6.4%
30-44
17.8%
45-64
29.7%
65+
25.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
15.0%(8.8x US)
Construction
11.5%(1.7x US)
Retail Trade
9.7%
Healthcare & Social Services
7.3%(1.6x US)
Professional & Technical
7.2%(0.6x US)
Educational Services
6.1%(0.7x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202422.7%(1,522)74.0%(4,965)R+51.3D+0.5
202023.0%(1,496)74.8%(4,869)R+51.8D+0.7
201620.6%(1,202)73.1%(4,269)R+52.5R+9.4
201227.0%(1,640)70.1%(4,257)R+43.1R+8.2
200831.0%(1,933)65.9%(4,108)R+34.9D+11.5
200425.8%(1,582)72.2%(4,425)R+46.4D+3.7
200022.6%(1,352)72.6%(4,353)R+50.1R+20.9
199630.1%(1,866)59.3%(3,671)R+29.1R+11.9
199224.9%(1,615)42.2%(2,736)R+17.3D+13.7
198833.5%(2,052)64.5%(3,948)R+31.0D+12.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Fergus County, MT18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202428.2%(1,910)70.2%(4,749)R+42.0D+3.3
202027.4%(1,788)72.6%(4,746)R+45.3R+16.3
201833.9%(1,964)62.8%(3,640)R+28.9D+12.0
201428.6%(1,417)69.5%(3,449)R+41.0R+16.8
201233.9%(2,063)58.1%(3,533)R+24.2R+54.9
200865.4%(3,939)34.6%(2,088)D+30.7D+57.1
200635.2%(1,985)61.7%(3,474)R+26.4R+30.5
200249.4%(2,452)45.3%(2,252)D+4.0D+33.5
200034.2%(2,067)63.7%(3,850)R+29.5R+11.2
199638.8%(2,410)57.1%(3,545)R+18.3D+34.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202423.9%(1,602)73.8%(4,945)R+49.9R+1.1
202024.1%(1,567)72.9%(4,737)R+48.8R+24.2
201636.1%(2,176)60.7%(3,657)R+24.6D+2.6
201234.5%(2,084)61.7%(3,726)R+27.2R+32.3
200851.7%(3,209)46.5%(2,890)D+5.1D+22.9
200439.9%(2,426)57.7%(3,509)R+17.8D+11.6
200034.3%(2,061)63.7%(3,829)R+29.4D+39.3
199615.7%(940)84.3%(5,064)R+68.7R+46.2
199238.7%(2,512)61.3%(3,973)R+22.5R+5.2
198840.4%(2,504)57.7%(3,575)R+17.3R+50.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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