Cascade County, MT

MT · Presidential Elections 1892–2024

R+22.3
2024 Margin
R+2.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2012
Voting Streak
85K
Population

Cascade County, MT (Montana) voted R+22.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 22,341 votes (59.65%) to 13,971 (37.3%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Cascade County is classified as a solid Republican county. Cascade County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2012. The county has a population of approximately 84,606.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+22.3
2020→2024 SwingR+2.6%
Voting StreakR since 2012
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population84,606
Median Age
38.6(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
28.4%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$67,690(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
83.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.3%(US: 19.1%)
Black
1.4%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
68.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
12.6%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.2%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
20.1%
Catholic
7.2%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
4.8%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
4.5%
Black Protestant
0.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
21.9%Above Average(1.8x)
Irish
12.8%(1.4x)
English
11.5%(1.3x)
American Heritage
7.4%(1.4x)
Italian
3.7%
Mexican
3.2%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.3%
18-29
8.8%↓
30-44
20.3%
45-64
28.9%↑
65+
19.6%↑
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
12.9%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
9.6%(1.1x US)
Construction
8.8%(1.3x US)
Professional & Technical
8.3%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
6.4%(1.4x US)
Manufacturing
5.8%(0.6x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.3%(13,971)59.6%(22,341)R+22.3R+2.6
202038.8%(15,456)58.5%(23,315)R+19.7D+1.9
201635.2%(12,175)56.8%(19,632)R+21.6R+12.6
201244.0%(15,232)53.1%(18,345)R+9.0R+11.3
200849.9%(17,664)47.6%(16,857)D+2.3D+18.2
200441.0%(13,701)56.9%(19,028)R+15.9R+0.8
200039.4%(13,137)54.5%(18,164)R+15.1R+19.1
199644.9%(15,707)40.8%(14,291)D+4.0R+2.0
199240.2%(14,719)34.2%(12,494)D+6.1D+6.8
198848.9%(15,718)49.6%(15,946)R+0.7D+15.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Cascade County, MT • 1892–2024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202445.7%(17,323)52.3%(19,808)R+6.6D+4.9
202044.3%(17,727)55.7%(22,312)R+11.5R+16.9
201851.3%(17,435)45.8%(15,566)D+5.5D+19.4
201442.1%(11,045)56.1%(14,704)R+13.9R+24.5
201252.5%(18,246)42.0%(14,589)D+10.5R+45.3
200877.9%(27,349)22.1%(7,758)D+55.8D+55.1
200649.5%(15,068)48.8%(14,850)D+0.7R+43.2
200269.1%(17,491)25.2%(6,378)D+43.9D+37.9
200051.8%(17,288)45.9%(15,298)D+6.0R+8.7
199654.6%(19,357)40.0%(14,172)D+14.6D+29.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202435.4%(13,324)62.1%(23,339)R+26.6R+10.8
202040.0%(15,922)55.8%(22,221)R+15.8R+26.0
201653.6%(19,019)43.4%(15,393)D+10.2R+4.2
201255.4%(19,138)41.0%(14,164)D+14.4R+30.0
200871.4%(25,269)27.0%(9,568)D+44.4D+30.0
200455.7%(18,659)41.3%(13,848)D+14.4D+3.5
200054.5%(18,096)43.6%(14,479)D+10.9D+72.9
199619.0%(6,684)81.0%(28,511)R+62.0R+69.2
199253.6%(19,405)46.4%(16,819)D+7.1D+8.5
198848.6%(15,777)50.0%(16,224)R+1.4R+46.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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