Carbon County, MT

MT · Presidential Elections 18962024

R+32.4
2024 Margin
R+3.4%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
11K
Population

Carbon County, MT (Montana) voted R+32.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 4,719 votes (64.67%) to 2,353 (32.25%) for Harris.

This represents a R+3.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Carbon County is classified as a deep Republican county. Carbon County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 11,116.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+32.4
2020→2024 SwingR+3.4%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record33

Demographics

Population11,116
Median Age
50.4(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
34.6%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$80,261(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
91.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.0%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
78.0%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
7.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.4%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
7.1%(Below Average)
Mainline Protestant
5.8%
Catholic
5.2%(Below Average)
LDS/Mormon
4.8%(Major Center)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
28.8%Above Average(2.3x)
English
16.6%Above Average(1.9x)
Irish
14.0%(1.5x)
American Heritage
5.0%
Italian
3.9%
French
3.3%Above Average(1.7x)
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:50.4 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
17.2%
18-29
5.6%
30-44
15.7%
45-64
33.4%
65+
28.1%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
16.2%(9.5x US)
Retail Trade
10.7%
Professional & Technical
9.8%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
9.0%
Construction
8.4%(1.2x US)
Manufacturing
7.5%(0.8x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.3%(2,353)64.7%(4,719)R+32.4R+3.4
202034.3%(2,421)63.4%(4,468)R+29.0D+3.0
201630.5%(1,828)62.6%(3,748)R+32.0R+8.3
201236.7%(2,146)60.4%(3,533)R+23.7R+12.1
200842.5%(2,443)54.1%(3,108)R+11.6D+16.5
200434.7%(1,847)62.8%(3,342)R+28.1D+4.8
200029.9%(1,434)62.8%(3,008)R+32.9R+26.7
199638.9%(1,854)45.1%(2,147)R+6.2R+5.9
199233.5%(1,549)33.8%(1,562)R+0.3D+6.9
198845.6%(2,039)52.8%(2,360)R+7.2D+19.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Carbon County, MT18962024

D+R++40+200-20-4018961904191219201928193619441952196019681976198419922000200820162024
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202437.8%(2,794)60.4%(4,459)R+22.5D+3.4
202037.0%(2,591)63.0%(4,404)R+25.9R+17.2
201844.2%(2,680)52.9%(3,209)R+8.7D+17.8
201435.8%(1,680)62.3%(2,926)R+26.5R+24.9
201245.9%(2,691)47.6%(2,788)R+1.7R+47.9
200873.1%(4,085)26.9%(1,502)D+46.2D+51.5
200645.9%(2,258)51.3%(2,519)R+5.3R+38.6
200263.8%(2,737)30.4%(1,306)D+33.3D+43.2
200043.8%(2,151)53.7%(2,636)R+9.9R+16.1
199650.4%(2,431)44.1%(2,129)D+6.3D+44.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.2%(2,370)65.5%(4,812)R+33.2R+7.7
202035.3%(2,498)60.8%(4,303)R+25.5R+19.5
201645.4%(2,775)51.4%(3,145)R+6.1D+2.0
201244.2%(2,576)52.2%(3,046)R+8.1R+37.8
200864.0%(3,669)34.2%(1,961)D+29.8D+26.8
200449.8%(2,627)46.9%(2,471)D+3.0D+17.8
200041.6%(2,019)56.4%(2,739)R+14.8D+45.8
199619.7%(934)80.3%(3,815)R+60.7R+51.0
199245.2%(2,115)54.8%(2,566)R+9.6R+1.4
198845.1%(2,013)53.3%(2,379)R+8.2R+54.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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