Warren County, MO
MO · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
Warren County, MO (Missouri) voted R+49.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 14,915 votes (73.96%) to 4,970 (24.65%) for Harris.
This represents a R+3.4% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Warren County is classified as a deep Republican county. Warren County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 37,177.
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Quick Stats
Demographics
Community Profile
Religious Composition
Source: Religion Census 2020Ancestry Groups
Source: Census ACSTop reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).
Age Distribution
Employment by Industry
Census ACSPresidential Elections
Presidential Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24.6%(4,970) | 74.0%(14,915) | R+49.3 | R+3.4 |
| 2020 | 25.9%(4,769) | 71.8%(13,222) | R+45.9 | R+0.3 |
| 2016 | 24.8%(3,915) | 70.4%(11,111) | R+45.6 | R+18.8 |
| 2012 | 35.6%(5,219) | 62.4%(9,150) | R+26.8 | R+14.1 |
| 2008 | 43.0%(6,705) | 55.7%(8,675) | R+12.6 | D+5.4 |
| 2004 | 40.7%(5,461) | 58.7%(7,883) | R+18.0 | R+4.5 |
| 2000 | 42.1%(4,524) | 55.7%(5,979) | R+13.5 | R+9.8 |
| 1996 | 40.0%(3,443) | 43.8%(3,768) | R+3.8 | R+6.8 |
| 1992 | 37.1%(3,213) | 34.1%(2,953) | D+3.0 | D+23.5 |
| 1988 | 39.6%(2,935) | 60.1%(4,452) | R+20.5 | D+24.3 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Presidential Margin Trend
Warren County, MO • 1892–2024
Senate Elections
Senate Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28.1%(5,579) | 69.7%(13,858) | R+41.7 | R+0.2 |
| 2022 | 29.3%(3,762) | 70.7%(9,081) | R+41.4 | R+15.9 |
| 2018 | 35.3%(4,945) | 60.8%(8,519) | R+25.5 | R+6.5 |
| 2016 | 37.7%(5,928) | 56.7%(8,918) | R+19.0 | R+15.9 |
| 2012 | 45.4%(6,591) | 48.5%(7,040) | R+3.1 | D+24.2 |
| 2010 | 32.6%(3,500) | 59.9%(6,433) | R+27.3 | R+20.2 |
| 2006 | 45.1%(5,118) | 52.3%(5,931) | R+7.2 | D+13.2 |
| 2004 | 39.2%(5,208) | 59.6%(7,921) | R+20.4 | R+7.8 |
| 2002 | 43.2%(3,911) | 55.8%(5,053) | R+12.6 | R+4.7 |
| 2000 | 45.5%(4,885) | 53.4%(5,732) | R+7.9 | D+7.8 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab
Governor Elections
Governor Results
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23.5%(4,644) | 74.4%(14,719) | R+50.9 | R+7.3 |
| 2020 | 26.9%(4,920) | 70.5%(12,892) | R+43.6 | R+24.5 |
| 2016 | 38.5%(6,055) | 57.6%(9,056) | R+19.1 | R+15.5 |
| 2012 | 46.8%(6,819) | 50.3%(7,338) | R+3.6 | R+3.4 |
| 2008 | 49.1%(7,587) | 49.3%(7,617) | R+0.2 | D+13.3 |
| 2004 | 42.6%(5,689) | 56.1%(7,488) | R+13.5 | D+2.8 |
| 2000 | 40.4%(4,318) | 56.8%(6,060) | R+16.3 | R+14.1 |
| 1996 | 47.7%(4,103) | 49.9%(4,298) | R+2.3 | R+10.5 |
| 1992 | 54.1%(4,602) | 45.9%(3,901) | D+8.2 | D+47.8 |
| 1988 | 30.0%(2,219) | 69.5%(5,145) | R+39.5 | R+15.8 |
Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab