Shelby County, MO

MO · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+65.6
2024 Margin
R+2.7%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
6K
Population

Shelby County, MO (Missouri) voted R+65.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 2,691 votes (82.5%) to 550 (16.86%) for Harris.

This represents a R+2.7% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Shelby County is classified as a deep Republican county. Shelby County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 5,986.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+65.6
2020→2024 SwingR+2.7%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population5,986
Median Age
42.7(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
18.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$51,594(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
94.2%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.3%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
77.5%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
15.9%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
9.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
34.0%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
9.6%(Above Average)
Catholic
4.8%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
17.7%(1.4x)
English
12.3%(1.4x)
Irish
10.0%
American Heritage
8.0%(1.5x)
Mexican
1.3%
French
1.3%

Age Distribution

Median:42.7 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.0%
18-29
7.3%
30-44
15.7%
45-64
30.8%
65+
22.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
11.5%(1.2x US)
Construction
9.9%(1.5x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
9.9%(5.8x US)
Retail Trade
8.1%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
6.8%(0.8x US)
Professional & Technical
5.1%(0.4x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202416.9%(550)82.5%(2,691)R+65.6R+2.7
202017.7%(592)80.6%(2,700)R+62.9R+4.3
201618.5%(606)77.1%(2,524)R+58.6R+20.8
201229.9%(966)67.7%(2,188)R+37.8R+6.1
200833.6%(1,114)65.3%(2,166)R+31.7R+0.9
200434.3%(1,201)65.1%(2,280)R+30.8R+10.1
200038.8%(1,262)59.4%(1,936)R+20.7R+27.1
199646.1%(1,410)39.6%(1,213)D+6.4R+1.4
199242.3%(1,435)34.4%(1,169)D+7.8D+1.0
198853.4%(1,818)46.5%(1,586)D+6.8D+24.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Shelby County, MO18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202419.2%(616)78.9%(2,535)R+59.7R+2.7
202221.5%(479)78.5%(1,753)R+57.1R+12.3
201825.9%(709)70.7%(1,935)R+44.8R+9.4
201630.7%(989)66.2%(2,129)R+35.4R+27.9
201244.2%(1,424)51.8%(1,667)R+7.5D+18.6
201035.6%(996)61.7%(1,727)R+26.1R+8.1
200640.2%(1,208)58.2%(1,748)R+18.0D+24.0
200428.7%(994)70.6%(2,450)R+42.0R+34.0
200245.7%(1,241)53.7%(1,459)R+8.0R+0.1
200045.7%(1,493)53.7%(1,753)R+8.0R+2.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202415.7%(504)82.6%(2,656)R+67.0R+3.2
202017.3%(576)81.0%(2,698)R+63.7R+29.6
201632.0%(1,037)66.1%(2,143)R+34.1R+24.9
201244.4%(1,426)53.6%(1,721)R+9.2D+18.1
200835.9%(1,189)63.1%(2,094)R+27.3D+7.3
200432.2%(1,116)66.7%(2,316)R+34.6R+30.8
200047.8%(1,547)51.5%(1,668)R+3.7R+46.1
199670.5%(2,154)28.1%(859)D+42.4D+30.7
199255.9%(1,891)44.1%(1,494)D+11.7D+29.6
198841.1%(1,397)58.9%(2,004)R+17.8R+13.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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