Newton County, MO

MO · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+58.6
2024 Margin
R+1.3%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1968
Voting Streak
60K
Population

Newton County, MO (Missouri) voted R+58.6 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 22,923 votes (78.78%) to 5,867 (20.16%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.3% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Newton County is classified as a deep Republican county. Newton County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The county has a population of approximately 60,118.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+58.6
2020→2024 SwingR+1.3%
Voting StreakR since 1968
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population60,118
Median Age
40.2(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
23.5%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$66,301(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
81.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
6.8%(US: 19.1%)
Asian
1.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
76.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.8%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
3.0%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
39.5%(Major Center)
Mainline Protestant
5.1%
LDS/Mormon
2.4%
Catholic
1.9%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
15.1%(1.2x)
English
13.4%(1.5x)
Irish
10.6%
American Heritage
6.9%(1.3x)
Mexican
3.4%
Italian
1.8%
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:40.2 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.9%
18-29
8.5%
30-44
17.4%
45-64
31.4%
65+
18.8%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingMajor Specialization
19.3%(2.0x US)
Retail Trade
12.5%(1.2x US)
Professional & Technical
7.9%(0.7x US)
Educational Services
7.8%
Construction
7.6%(1.1x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.4%(1.2x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.2%(5,867)78.8%(22,923)R+58.6R+1.3
202020.4%(5,818)77.7%(22,120)R+57.3D+0.8
201618.6%(4,990)76.7%(20,553)R+58.1R+11.4
201225.5%(6,425)72.2%(18,181)R+46.7R+6.6
200829.3%(7,450)69.4%(17,637)R+40.1D+4.4
200427.5%(6,564)72.0%(17,187)R+44.5R+7.7
200030.5%(6,447)67.3%(14,232)R+36.8R+13.4
199632.3%(5,840)55.7%(10,067)R+23.4R+8.1
199232.4%(5,987)47.6%(8,804)R+15.2D+14.0
198835.1%(5,798)64.4%(10,617)R+29.2D+14.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Newton County, MO18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.2%(5,860)77.2%(22,381)R+57.0D+3.1
202219.9%(3,878)80.1%(15,565)R+60.1R+8.9
201822.1%(4,985)73.3%(16,550)R+51.2R+6.5
201625.1%(6,691)69.9%(18,598)R+44.7R+22.1
201235.9%(8,933)58.6%(14,574)R+22.7D+32.2
201020.7%(3,739)75.6%(13,625)R+54.8R+17.8
200630.1%(5,781)67.1%(12,901)R+37.1D+16.9
200422.5%(5,356)76.5%(18,198)R+54.0R+16.6
200230.6%(5,071)68.0%(11,273)R+37.4D+1.4
200030.1%(6,366)68.9%(14,562)R+38.8R+1.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202419.0%(5,464)79.1%(22,795)R+60.1R+2.3
202020.1%(5,692)77.9%(22,031)R+57.8R+10.7
201624.8%(6,607)71.9%(19,123)R+47.1R+28.7
201239.5%(9,880)57.9%(14,483)R+18.4D+7.2
200836.3%(9,134)61.9%(15,570)R+25.6D+25.9
200423.8%(5,662)75.2%(17,935)R+51.5R+17.6
200032.2%(6,780)66.1%(13,917)R+33.9R+15.3
199639.6%(7,114)58.1%(10,445)R+18.5D+3.5
199239.0%(6,756)61.0%(10,586)R+22.1D+28.6
198824.4%(3,954)75.1%(12,167)R+50.7R+3.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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