Safe Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 91.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 1.8% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 3.5% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.8% | 50.0% |
| Catholic | 18.2% | 27.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 14.6% | 22.3% |
| Non-religious | 34.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+59.8 |
| 2020 | Trump+56.7 |
| 2016 | Trump+55.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+28.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+19.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+15.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+21.7 |
Monroe, Missouri is a county that has a population of 8,734. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+59.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19.6% | 79.4% | R+59.8 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 20.9% | 77.6% | R+56.7 | R+1.2 |
| 2016 | 20.5% | 76.0% | R+55.5 | R+26.8 |
| 2012 | 34.5% | 63.2% | R+28.7 | R+9.5 |
| 2008 | 39.5% | 58.7% | R+19.2 | D+3.6 |
| 2004 | 38.2% | 61.1% | R+22.9 | R+15.2 |
| 2000 | 45.4% | 53.1% | R+7.7 | R+23.5 |
| 1996 | 50.6% | 34.8% | D+15.8 | R+5.9 |
| 1992 | 49.2% | 27.5% | D+21.7 | R+1.2 |
| 1988 | 61.3% | 38.4% | D+22.9 | D+27.0 |
| 1984 | 47.9% | 52.1% | R+4.1 | R+13.3 |
| 1980 | 53.7% | 44.5% | D+9.2 | R+22.1 |
| 1976 | 65.4% | 34.1% | D+31.3 | D+27.7 |
| 1972 | 51.8% | 48.2% | D+3.6 | R+27.2 |
| 1968 | 59.8% | 29.1% | D+30.8 | R+32.4 |
| 1964 | 81.6% | 18.4% | D+63.1 | D+18.0 |
| 1960 | 72.5% | 27.5% | D+45.1 | R+8.6 |
| 1956 | 76.8% | 23.2% | D+53.6 | D+1.4 |
| 1952 | 76.1% | 23.8% | D+52.3 | R+18.6 |
| 1948 | 85.4% | 14.5% | D+70.9 | — |
Monroe has been trending Republican — 31pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.