Cole County, MO

MO · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+34.4
2024 Margin
R+0.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1952
Voting Streak
77K
Population

Cole County, MO (Missouri) voted R+34.4 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 26,686 votes (66.46%) to 12,874 (32.06%) for Harris.

This represents a R+0.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Cole County is classified as a deep Republican county. Cole County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The county has a population of approximately 77,032.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+34.4
2020→2024 SwingR+0.6%
Voting StreakR since 1952
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population77,032
Median Age
39.9(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
38.9%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$74,876(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
79.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
3.6%(US: 19.1%)
Black
10.5%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.6%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
67.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
9.1%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
7.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.9%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
27.9%(Above Average)
Catholic
24.0%
Mainline Protestant
6.1%
LDS/Mormon
1.4%
Black Protestant
1.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
29.8%Above Average(2.4x)
English
11.1%(1.3x)
Irish
9.1%
American Heritage
8.8%Above Average(1.6x)
Mexican
2.5%
French
2.5%(1.3x)
+ 2 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.9 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
22.1%
18-29
8.8%
30-44
19.2%
45-64
31.9%
65+
18.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
11.0%
Professional & Technical
8.9%(0.7x US)
Construction
8.1%(1.2x US)
Manufacturing
8.0%(0.8x US)
Educational Services
6.0%(0.7x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.0%(0.9x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202432.1%(12,874)66.5%(26,686)R+34.4R+0.6
202032.0%(12,694)65.8%(26,086)R+33.8D+2.6
201629.0%(10,913)65.4%(24,616)R+36.4R+2.8
201232.3%(12,005)65.8%(24,490)R+33.6R+6.7
200836.0%(13,959)62.9%(24,385)R+26.9D+8.5
200432.0%(11,753)67.4%(24,752)R+35.4R+10.7
200036.8%(12,056)61.5%(20,167)R+24.7R+6.7
199637.0%(10,857)55.0%(16,140)R+18.0R+1.8
199232.6%(10,201)48.8%(15,270)R+16.2D+20.4
198831.6%(8,359)68.2%(18,023)R+36.5D+13.9

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Cole County, MO18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202434.8%(13,896)62.7%(25,034)R+27.9D+3.8
202234.1%(9,470)65.9%(18,267)R+31.7R+4.7
201835.0%(11,718)62.0%(20,738)R+27.0R+6.4
201637.9%(14,216)58.5%(21,940)R+20.6R+11.0
201242.1%(15,394)51.8%(18,918)R+9.6D+23.5
201030.9%(8,801)64.0%(18,240)R+33.1R+7.9
200635.3%(10,610)60.6%(18,185)R+25.2D+17.1
200428.4%(10,370)70.7%(25,857)R+42.4R+20.1
200238.2%(10,860)60.4%(17,178)R+22.2R+19.4
200048.3%(15,863)51.1%(16,780)R+2.8D+26.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202426.7%(10,671)71.0%(28,418)R+44.4R+6.1
202029.6%(11,726)67.9%(26,886)R+38.3R+24.8
201642.1%(15,806)55.6%(20,872)R+13.5R+7.3
201245.6%(16,810)51.8%(19,099)R+6.2R+5.3
200849.0%(18,941)49.9%(19,285)R+0.9D+26.2
200436.1%(13,229)63.1%(23,147)R+27.0R+23.1
200047.2%(15,397)51.1%(16,673)R+3.9R+33.9
199663.8%(18,708)33.8%(9,902)D+30.0D+21.6
199254.2%(16,810)45.8%(14,200)D+8.4D+44.6
198831.5%(8,301)67.7%(17,859)R+36.2R+1.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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