Caldwell County, MO

MO · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+61.3
2024 Margin
R+1.1%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
9K
Population

Caldwell County, MO (Missouri) voted R+61.3 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 3,771 votes (80.18%) to 888 (18.88%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Caldwell County is classified as a deep Republican county. Caldwell County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 8,927.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+61.3
2020→2024 SwingR+1.1%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population8,927
Median Age
43.2(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
19.9%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$64,806(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
92.7%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.3%(US: 19.1%)
Homeownership
78.2%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
10.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
8.7%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
2.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
25.3%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
14.0%(Major Center)
LDS/Mormon
13.3%(Primary Hub)
Catholic
1.2%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
18.3%(1.5x)
English
14.4%Above Average(1.6x)
American Heritage
13.4%Above Average(2.5x)
Irish
8.7%
Italian
1.6%
Mexican
1.5%
+ 1 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:43.2 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.5%
18-29
7.4%
30-44
15.5%
45-64
33.3%
65+
20.3%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Manufacturing
13.3%(1.4x US)
Retail Trade
12.2%(1.1x US)
Construction
8.5%(1.3x US)
Agriculture & ForestryExceptional Hub
6.1%(3.6x US)
Professional & Technical
5.3%(0.4x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.1%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202418.9%(888)80.2%(3,771)R+61.3R+1.1
202019.1%(897)79.3%(3,725)R+60.2R+4.7
201619.4%(838)75.0%(3,232)R+55.5R+21.7
201231.5%(1,312)65.3%(2,721)R+33.8R+15.4
200839.8%(1,814)58.1%(2,654)R+18.4D+3.8
200438.5%(1,645)60.8%(2,593)R+22.2R+3.2
200038.6%(1,488)57.7%(2,220)R+19.0R+19.7
199642.9%(1,487)42.2%(1,464)D+0.7R+3.3
199235.9%(1,456)31.9%(1,295)D+4.0D+13.1
198845.3%(1,726)54.4%(2,074)R+9.1D+22.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Caldwell County, MO18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202422.2%(1,036)75.1%(3,506)R+52.9D+2.4
202222.4%(745)77.6%(2,588)R+55.3R+14.6
201827.1%(1,022)67.7%(2,558)R+40.7R+17.6
201635.2%(1,517)58.3%(2,513)R+23.1R+21.9
201244.3%(1,832)45.5%(1,880)R+1.2D+32.1
201029.5%(979)62.7%(2,083)R+33.2R+31.6
200646.4%(1,740)48.0%(1,802)R+1.7D+27.2
200434.7%(1,473)63.6%(2,697)R+28.9R+26.1
200247.5%(1,496)50.3%(1,584)R+2.8D+1.9
200046.5%(1,821)51.2%(2,005)R+4.7D+17.3

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202420.2%(940)77.5%(3,601)R+57.3D+0.5
202019.7%(916)77.5%(3,603)R+57.8R+28.1
201633.4%(1,443)63.1%(2,726)R+29.7R+24.6
201245.3%(1,882)50.4%(2,092)R+5.1R+12.7
200852.3%(2,361)44.6%(2,014)D+7.7D+22.2
200441.9%(1,796)56.4%(2,419)R+14.5R+6.6
200044.1%(1,701)52.0%(2,006)R+7.9R+28.7
199658.8%(2,031)38.0%(1,314)D+20.8D+12.5
199254.1%(2,127)45.9%(1,804)D+8.2D+41.7
198832.7%(1,249)66.2%(2,527)R+33.5R+6.6

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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