Butler County, MO

MO · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+63.8
2024 Margin
R+1.6%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 1996
Voting Streak
42K
Population

Butler County, MO (Missouri) voted R+63.8 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 14,549 votes (81.46%) to 3,160 (17.69%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Butler County is classified as a deep Republican county. Butler County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The county has a population of approximately 42,020.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+63.8
2020→2024 SwingR+1.6%
Voting StreakR since 1996
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population42,020
Median Age
39.5(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
15.8%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$49,089(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
86.4%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
2.5%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.9%(US: 12.2%)
Homeownership
64.6%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
20.5%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
9.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
1.6%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Evangelical
29.3%(Above Average)
Mainline Protestant
3.6%
Catholic
3.1%(Below Average)
Black Protestant
1.9%
LDS/Mormon
1.1%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
14.2%
English
12.6%(1.4x)
Irish
12.0%(1.3x)
American Heritage
11.6%Above Average(2.2x)
Polish
1.6%
French
1.6%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:39.5 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
23.3%
18-29
8.3%
30-44
19.0%
45-64
30.0%
65+
19.5%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail TradeRegional Strength
16.4%(1.5x US)
Manufacturing
13.9%(1.4x US)
Construction
8.4%(1.2x US)
Educational Services
7.8%
Professional & Technical
6.0%(0.5x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.2%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.7%(3,160)81.5%(14,549)R+63.8R+1.6
202018.2%(3,301)80.4%(14,602)R+62.2R+0.7
201617.6%(3,036)79.1%(13,650)R+61.5R+14.8
201225.8%(4,363)72.5%(12,248)R+46.7R+9.3
200830.7%(5,316)68.1%(11,805)R+37.4D+5.3
200428.4%(4,666)71.1%(11,696)R+42.8R+14.2
200034.7%(4,996)63.3%(9,111)R+28.6R+20.1
199640.3%(5,780)48.8%(6,996)R+8.5R+9.5
199243.2%(6,602)42.2%(6,450)D+1.0D+17.1
198841.9%(5,751)58.0%(7,968)R+16.1D+13.8

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Butler County, MO18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202417.6%(3,107)80.6%(14,267)R+63.1D+3.5
202216.7%(1,872)83.3%(9,333)R+66.6R+11.2
201821.1%(2,961)76.5%(10,727)R+55.4R+12.9
201626.7%(4,543)69.2%(11,764)R+42.5R+28.7
201240.6%(6,783)54.3%(9,079)R+13.7D+31.6
201025.2%(2,938)70.5%(8,229)R+45.4R+20.3
200635.8%(4,521)60.9%(7,692)R+25.1D+22.1
200425.9%(4,225)73.1%(11,903)R+47.2R+20.6
200236.1%(3,793)62.7%(6,578)R+26.5R+8.0
200040.2%(5,803)58.7%(8,472)R+18.5D+10.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202416.2%(2,866)82.2%(14,510)R+65.9R+4.9
202018.6%(3,349)79.6%(14,337)R+61.0R+10.9
201623.7%(4,039)73.8%(12,598)R+50.1R+36.8
201242.2%(7,036)55.5%(9,251)R+13.3R+3.0
200843.9%(7,459)54.1%(9,205)R+10.3D+23.0
200432.9%(5,364)66.1%(10,796)R+33.3R+14.7
200039.8%(5,657)58.4%(8,301)R+18.6R+21.5
199650.6%(7,208)47.7%(6,793)D+2.9D+1.3
199250.8%(7,581)49.2%(7,335)D+1.6D+35.4
198833.1%(4,488)66.9%(9,060)R+33.7R+14.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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