Warren County, Mississippi
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 4.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 46.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 2.1% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 48.7% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.5% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 41.4% | 61.2% |
| Black Protestant | 10.7% | 15.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.3% | 13.8% |
| Catholic | 4.2% | 6.3% |
| Other | 1.6% | 2.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.1% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 32.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+4.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+0.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+2.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+1.5 |
| 2008 | McCain+3.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+15.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+18.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+2.5 |
| 1992 | Bush+9.9 |
Warren, Mississippi is a county that has a population of 43,020. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+4.0. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47.5% | 51.4% | R+4.0 | R+4.3 |
| 2020 | 49.6% | 49.2% | D+0.4 | D+2.9 |
| 2016 | 47.8% | 50.3% | R+2.5 | R+4.0 |
| 2012 | 50.4% | 48.9% | D+1.5 | D+4.6 |
| 2008 | 48.2% | 51.2% | R+3.0 | D+12.9 |
| 2004 | 41.8% | 57.7% | R+15.9 | D+2.4 |
| 2000 | 40.2% | 58.5% | R+18.3 | R+15.8 |
| 1996 | 45.3% | 47.8% | R+2.5 | D+7.4 |
| 1992 | 39.7% | 49.6% | R+9.9 | D+15.3 |
| 1988 | 36.9% | 62.0% | R+25.1 | R+2.1 |
| 1984 | 37.9% | 61.0% | R+23.1 | R+8.4 |
| 1980 | 41.3% | 56.0% | R+14.7 | D+0.6 |
| 1976 | 40.1% | 55.4% | R+15.3 | D+32.6 |
| 1972 | 24.0% | 72.0% | R+47.9 | R+62.9 |
| 1968 | 31.9% | 17.0% | D+15.0 | D+78.9 |
| 1964 | 18.0% | 82.0% | R+63.9 | R+64.1 |
| 1960 | 34.8% | 34.6% | D+0.2 | D+10.7 |
| 1956 | 34.9% | 45.4% | R+10.6 | D+8.2 |
| 1952 | 40.6% | 59.4% | R+18.8 | R+20.6 |
| 1948 | 7.7% | 5.9% | D+1.8 | — |
What defines Warren?
Warren has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a plurality-minority electorate (54% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2020 election was decided by just 0.4 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Turnout decreased by 8.5 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Located In
Warren sits inside these higher-level geographies.