Marshall County, Mississippi
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 10.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 47.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 5.1% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 42.9% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.9% | 56.1% |
| Black Protestant | 17.1% | 29.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.5% | 9.5% |
| Other | 2.0% | 3.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.2% |
| Catholic | 1.0% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 41.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+7.3 |
| 2020 | Biden+3.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+9.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+19.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+18.2 |
| 2004 | Kerry+17.9 |
| 2000 | Gore+23.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+37.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+32.5 |
Marshall, Mississippi is a county that has a population of 33,979. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+7.3. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.0% | 53.2% | R+7.3 | R+10.4 |
| 2020 | 50.9% | 47.8% | D+3.1 | R+6.6 |
| 2016 | 54.1% | 44.4% | D+9.7 | R+9.9 |
| 2012 | 59.4% | 39.9% | D+19.6 | D+1.3 |
| 2008 | 58.8% | 40.6% | D+18.2 | D+0.4 |
| 2004 | 58.6% | 40.8% | D+17.9 | R+6.1 |
| 2000 | 61.4% | 37.5% | D+23.9 | R+13.5 |
| 1996 | 66.3% | 28.9% | D+37.5 | D+5.0 |
| 1992 | 63.2% | 30.7% | D+32.5 | D+12.8 |
| 1988 | 59.4% | 39.7% | D+19.7 | D+5.5 |
| 1984 | 56.9% | 42.7% | D+14.2 | R+19.9 |
| 1980 | 65.9% | 31.8% | D+34.1 | R+15.0 |
| 1976 | 73.4% | 24.3% | D+49.1 | D+76.2 |
| 1972 | 35.0% | 62.1% | R+27.1 | R+64.2 |
| 1968 | 46.3% | 9.2% | D+37.1 | D+110.7 |
| 1964 | 13.2% | 86.8% | R+73.5 | R+89.1 |
| 1960 | 38.2% | 22.6% | D+15.5 | R+37.9 |
| 1956 | 70.4% | 16.9% | D+53.4 | D+2.7 |
| 1952 | 75.4% | 24.6% | D+50.7 | D+41.9 |
| 1948 | 10.9% | 2.1% | D+8.8 | — |
What defines Marshall?
Marshall has been trending Republican — 27pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (53% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Swung 10.4 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Shifted 26.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Marshall sits inside these higher-level geographies.