Stearns County, Minnesota
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 4.8% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 9.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.8% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 33.9% | 64.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 8.7% | 16.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.4% | 15.9% |
| Other | 1.9% | 3.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.6% |
| Non-religious | 47.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+26.7 |
| 2020 | Trump+22.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+27.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+12.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+7.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+12.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+12.2 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.0 |
| 1992 | Bush+1.8 |
Stearns, Minnesota is a county that has a population of 160,865. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+26.7. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35.6% | 62.3% | R+26.7 | R+4.2 |
| 2020 | 37.6% | 60.1% | R+22.5 | D+5.2 |
| 2016 | 32.1% | 59.8% | R+27.7 | R+15.6 |
| 2012 | 42.8% | 54.8% | R+12.1 | R+5.1 |
| 2008 | 45.3% | 52.3% | R+7.0 | D+5.0 |
| 2004 | 43.2% | 55.2% | R+12.0 | D+0.2 |
| 2000 | 39.7% | 51.9% | R+12.2 | R+17.2 |
| 1996 | 44.0% | 39.0% | D+5.0 | D+6.8 |
| 1992 | 36.1% | 37.9% | R+1.8 | D+5.4 |
| 1988 | 45.7% | 52.8% | R+7.2 | D+10.8 |
| 1984 | 40.6% | 58.5% | R+17.9 | R+12.1 |
| 1980 | 42.4% | 48.3% | R+5.9 | R+17.3 |
| 1976 | 52.3% | 40.9% | D+11.4 | D+10.5 |
| 1972 | 46.7% | 45.8% | D+0.9 | R+0.8 |
| 1968 | 47.6% | 45.9% | D+1.7 | R+17.1 |
| 1964 | 59.3% | 40.4% | D+18.8 | D+1.9 |
| 1960 | 58.4% | 41.5% | D+16.9 | D+44.5 |
| 1956 | 36.1% | 63.7% | R+27.6 | D+2.0 |
| 1952 | 35.1% | 64.7% | R+29.6 | R+49.5 |
| 1948 | 59.4% | 39.5% | D+19.9 | — |
What defines Stearns?
Stearns is a deep Republican suburban geography that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. It shifted 4.2pp toward Republicans between 2020 and 2024. Its 161K residents are moderately educated (29% hold a bachelor's degree).
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 26.7% margin
- Has flipped parties 11 times since 1868