Scott County, MN

MN · Presidential Elections 18922024

R+8.5
2024 Margin
R+1.8%
2020→2024 Swing
R since 2000
Voting Streak
155K
Population

Scott County, MN (Minnesota) voted R+8.5 for Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election, with Trump receiving 47,837 votes (53.07%) to 40,214 (44.61%) for Harris.

This represents a R+1.8% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Scott County is classified as a lean Republican county. Scott County has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The county has a population of approximately 154,557.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultR+8.5
2020→2024 SwingR+1.8%
Voting StreakR since 2000
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population154,557
Median Age
37.8(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
44.1%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$119,314(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
76.6%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
6.4%(US: 19.1%)
Black
5.5%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
6.4%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
83.8%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
4.6%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.2%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
10.7%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
28.6%(Above Average)
Evangelical
11.6%
Mainline Protestant
7.9%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.3%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
32.7%Significant Hub(2.7x)
Irish
10.5%
English
5.5%
Sub-Saharan African
4.1%Significant Hub(3.4x)
Polish
3.5%(1.4x)
Mexican
3.5%
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:37.8 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
25.9%
18-29
8.3%
30-44
18.9%
45-64
34.2%
65+
12.7%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
ManufacturingRegional Strength
15.1%(1.5x US)
Retail Trade
12.3%(1.1x US)
Professional & Technical
11.0%
Educational Services
7.4%(0.9x US)
Construction
6.7%
Healthcare & Social Services
4.4%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202444.6%(40,214)53.1%(47,837)R+8.5R+1.8
202045.5%(40,040)52.1%(45,872)R+6.6D+8.6
201638.0%(28,502)53.2%(39,948)R+15.3R+0.4
201241.5%(29,712)56.3%(40,323)R+14.8R+3.6
200843.5%(29,208)54.7%(36,724)R+11.2D+8.8
200439.5%(23,958)59.5%(36,055)R+19.9R+5.2
200040.0%(17,503)54.7%(23,954)R+14.7R+20.6
199644.6%(14,657)38.8%(12,734)D+5.9D+5.0
199234.8%(11,225)34.0%(10,936)D+0.9D+7.6
198846.2%(11,405)52.9%(13,050)R+6.7D+7.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Scott County, MN18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202450.2%(44,408)46.4%(41,018)D+3.8D+13.6
202041.3%(35,758)51.1%(44,215)R+9.8R+9.6
201895.6%(63,346)95.8%(63,466)R+0.2D+13.9
201441.1%(18,597)55.2%(24,963)R+14.1R+31.7
201256.7%(39,072)39.1%(26,941)D+17.6D+37.3
200831.0%(20,693)50.8%(33,839)R+19.7R+22.1
200649.3%(23,135)46.9%(22,023)D+2.4D+31.1
200234.4%(15,308)63.1%(28,102)R+28.7R+14.2
200038.9%(16,939)53.4%(23,271)R+14.5R+10.3
199642.5%(13,915)46.7%(15,311)R+4.3D+16.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)51.9%(35,289)R+51.9R+44.4
201844.3%(29,223)51.8%(34,201)R+7.5D+11.2
201438.0%(17,142)56.8%(25,586)R+18.7D+7.2
201030.3%(14,455)56.2%(26,806)R+25.9R+0.4
200634.2%(16,046)59.6%(28,001)R+25.5D+8.5
200224.4%(10,898)58.3%(26,074)R+33.9D+1.0
19980.0%(0)34.9%(12,075)R+34.9D+8.6
199425.8%(6,376)69.3%(17,140)R+43.5R+39.3
199045.9%(10,377)50.2%(11,332)R+4.2R+15.0
198654.3%(9,099)43.6%(7,299)D+10.7R+11.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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