Dakota County, MN

MN · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+12.8
2024 Margin
R+1.1%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2008
Voting Streak
446K
Population

Dakota County, MN (Minnesota) voted D+12.8 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 143,267 votes (55.14%) to 109,995 (42.34%) for Trump.

This represents a R+1.1% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Dakota County is classified as a lean Democratic county. Dakota County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The county has a population of approximately 445,771.

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Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+12.8
2020→2024 SwingR+1.1%
Voting StreakD since 2008
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population445,771
Median Age
38.6(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
45.0%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$106,318(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
73.8%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
8.7%(US: 19.1%)
Black
7.4%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
5.2%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
74.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
5.8%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.9%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
9.3%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Catholic
23.6%
Evangelical
14.2%
Mainline Protestant
9.8%(Above Average)
LDS/Mormon
0.7%
Jewish
0.2%

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
29.3%Above Average(2.4x)
Irish
11.8%(1.3x)
English
7.8%
Mexican
5.6%
Sub-Saharan African
3.8%Significant Hub(3.2x)
Polish
3.6%(1.5x)
+ 3 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:38.6 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.0%
18-29
7.7%
30-44
20.2%
45-64
32.3%
65+
15.9%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Professional & Technical
12.6%
Manufacturing
11.1%(1.1x US)
Retail Trade
10.8%
Educational Services
7.2%(0.8x US)
Construction
5.6%(0.8x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
4.7%
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202455.1%(143,267)42.3%(109,995)D+12.8R+1.1
202055.7%(146,155)41.8%(109,638)D+13.9D+9.3
201647.7%(110,592)43.1%(99,864)D+4.6D+1.7
201250.4%(116,255)47.5%(109,516)D+2.9R+2.6
200851.8%(116,778)46.3%(104,364)D+5.5D+7.5
200448.5%(104,635)50.5%(108,959)R+2.0R+1.0
200046.9%(85,446)47.9%(87,250)R+1.0R+14.0
199650.1%(77,297)37.1%(57,244)D+13.0D+5.8
199240.5%(63,660)33.3%(52,312)D+7.2D+7.0
198849.7%(61,942)49.5%(61,606)D+0.3D+6.0

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Dakota County, MN18922024

D+R++40+200-20-4018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202460.2%(153,609)36.5%(93,160)D+23.7D+14.3
202050.9%(131,394)41.5%(107,117)D+9.4R+26.7
2018114.0%(236,407)78.0%(161,612)D+36.1D+33.2
201449.8%(75,860)46.9%(71,509)D+2.9R+24.8
201262.0%(139,161)34.3%(77,031)D+27.7D+35.4
200838.1%(85,298)45.9%(102,701)R+7.8R+23.3
200655.9%(93,247)40.4%(67,289)D+15.6D+31.8
200240.7%(68,742)57.0%(96,149)R+16.2R+15.7
200045.6%(82,412)46.1%(83,356)R+0.5R+5.5
199647.9%(73,470)42.9%(65,756)D+5.0D+14.4

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)41.5%(83,220)R+41.5R+53.2
201853.9%(111,429)42.2%(87,266)D+11.7D+12.1
201447.4%(72,052)47.8%(72,714)R+0.4D+7.7
201038.9%(63,066)47.1%(76,211)R+8.1D+3.3
200640.7%(67,939)52.1%(87,039)R+11.4D+10.4
200231.5%(53,440)53.4%(90,534)R+21.9D+15.4
19980.0%(0)37.3%(56,242)R+37.3D+6.9
199425.7%(29,969)69.9%(81,475)R+44.2R+27.1
199039.6%(44,230)56.7%(63,354)R+17.1R+20.5
198651.0%(34,084)47.5%(31,781)D+3.4R+6.1

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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