Clay County, MN

MN · Presidential Elections 18922024

D+0.5
2024 Margin
R+3.6%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 2020
Voting Streak
66K
Population

Clay County, MN (Minnesota) voted D+0.5 for Kamala Harris (Democrat) in the 2024 presidential election, with Harris receiving 16,121 votes (49.04%) to 15,965 (48.56%) for Trump.

This represents a R+3.6% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. Clay County is classified as a competitive Democratic county. Clay County has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2020. The county has a population of approximately 66,059.

Quick Stats

2024 ResultD+0.5
2020→2024 SwingR+3.6%
Voting StreakD since 2020
Elections on Record34

Demographics

Population66,059
Median Age
33.7(US: 38.7)
College (BA+)
39.3%(US: 35.2%)
Median Income
$81,172(US: $80k)
White (non-Hisp)
84.3%(US: 57.6%)
Hispanic
5.0%(US: 19.1%)
Black
4.9%(US: 12.2%)
Asian
1.5%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
65.9%(US: 64.5%)
Poverty Rate
13.3%(US: 12.3%)
Veterans
5.5%(US: 6.2%)
Non-English (CVAP)
5.8%(US: 17.0%)
Source: Census ACS 5-Year (2020-2024)

Community Profile

Religious Composition

Source: Religion Census 2020
Mainline Protestant
24.3%(Unique Concentration)
Catholic
13.1%(Below Average)
Evangelical
8.4%(Below Average)

Ancestry Groups

Source: Census ACS

Top reported ancestry groups (compared to national average).

German
29.7%Above Average(2.4x)
Irish
6.6%
English
5.7%
Mexican
3.5%
French
2.9%(1.5x)
Polish
2.6%
+ 4 more reported ancestry groups

Age Distribution

Median:33.7 yrs(US: 38.5)
Under 18
24.7%
18-29
13.8%
30-44
20.1%
45-64
27.4%
65+
14.0%
National average

Employment by Industry

Census ACS
Retail Trade
10.3%
Professional & Technical
9.1%(0.8x US)
Manufacturing
8.7%(0.9x US)
Construction
7.5%
Educational Services
7.4%(0.9x US)
Healthcare & Social Services
5.2%(1.1x US)
National average
+ 1 more sectors

Presidential Elections

Presidential Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202449.0%(16,121)48.6%(15,965)D+0.5R+3.6
202050.7%(16,357)46.7%(15,043)D+4.1D+6.0
201644.1%(12,971)46.1%(13,543)R+1.9R+9.9
201252.6%(15,208)44.7%(12,920)D+7.9R+8.1
200857.0%(16,666)40.9%(11,978)D+16.0D+21.0
200446.8%(12,989)51.8%(14,365)R+5.0D+1.8
200043.4%(10,128)50.1%(11,712)R+6.8R+14.8
199649.1%(10,476)41.1%(8,764)D+8.0D+7.3
199241.9%(9,845)41.2%(9,666)D+0.8R+3.0
198851.5%(11,186)47.8%(10,380)D+3.7D+9.5

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Presidential Margin Trend

Clay County, MN18922024

D+R++60+40+200-20-40-6018921900190819161924193219401948195619641972198019881996200420122020
Democratic margin
Republican margin

Senate Elections

Senate Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
202455.2%(17,750)41.1%(13,220)D+14.1D+8.3
202048.0%(15,136)42.2%(13,308)D+5.8R+35.5
2018116.3%(28,169)75.1%(18,182)D+41.3D+22.7
201457.2%(10,229)38.6%(6,908)D+18.6R+19.4
201267.0%(18,607)29.0%(8,064)D+38.0D+41.3
200841.9%(12,067)45.2%(13,032)R+3.3R+20.5
200656.7%(11,086)39.6%(7,741)D+17.1D+11.8
200251.1%(10,454)45.8%(9,365)D+5.3R+0.6
200050.6%(11,647)44.7%(10,293)D+5.9D+6.0
199648.4%(10,313)48.5%(10,329)R+0.1D+5.2

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

Governor Elections

Governor Results

YearDemocratRepublicanMarginSwing
20220.0%(0)45.9%(10,199)R+45.9R+56.0
201852.6%(12,748)42.5%(10,301)D+10.1R+3.6
201453.7%(9,573)40.1%(7,139)D+13.7D+11.1
201044.8%(8,512)42.3%(8,025)D+2.6D+10.4
200643.6%(8,527)51.5%(10,065)R+7.9R+16.0
200248.8%(9,956)40.6%(8,292)D+8.2D+42.9
19980.0%(0)34.7%(6,200)R+34.7D+5.4
199428.3%(4,437)68.4%(10,722)R+40.1R+51.2
199054.3%(9,471)43.2%(7,544)D+11.0R+1.3
198655.9%(8,255)43.6%(6,432)D+12.4D+7.7

Source: Official state election returns via MIT Election Data + Science Lab

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